939  
AGXX40 KNHC 031917  
MIMATS  
 
MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
217 PM EST SAT FEB 3 2018  
 
MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO, CARIBBEAN SEA,  
AND TROPICAL NORTH ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W  
AND THE SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS  
   
..GULF OF MEXICO
 
 
A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM SW FLORIDA TO 25N87W THEN CONTINUES AS  
A STATIONARY FRONT 24N94W TO NEAR TUXPAN, MEXICO. FRESH TO STRONG  
EASTERLY WINDS ARE NOTED N OF THE FRONT, MAINLY E OF 94W, BASED  
ON SURFACE DATA, WITH SEAS TO 9 FT. THESE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO  
DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS LATE TODAY. THE FRONT IS FORECAST TO  
LIFT NORTHWARD OVER THE WESTERN GULF THROUGH THIS EVENING. A WEAK  
LOW PRESSURE FORMING ALONG THE FRONT OVER THE NW GULF WILL MOVE  
TOWARDS THE CAROLINAS, WITH A WEAKENING COLD FRONT TRAILING OVER  
THE NORTHERN GULF. A REINFORCING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE  
GULF LATE SUN, MERGE WITH THE DYING FRONT THEN STALL ALONG 24N  
THROUGH LATE MON. THE FRONT WILL LIFT N THROUGH TUE AHEAD OF A  
STRONGER COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE NW GULF WED. FRESH  
TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS ARE EXPECTED IN THE  
WAKE OF THIS FRONT. THE GFS MODEL SUGGESTS WINDS NEAR GALE FORCE  
NEAR TAMPICO, MEXICO BY WED NIGHT.  
 
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN  
55W AND 64W...  
 
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PULSE TO MINIMAL GALE FORCE WITHIN ABOUT  
90 NM OF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA EACH NIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT.  
FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT IN THE IN  
THE LEE OF CUBA, THROUGH THE WINDWARD PASSAGE AND IN THE LEE OF  
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...INCLUDING THE MONA PASSAGE. A RECENT  
SCATTEROMETER PASSES INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF THESE WINDS ACROSS  
THE MONA PASSAGE AND IN THE LEE OF DOMINICAN REPUBLIC, AS WELL  
AS IN THE LEE OF CUBA. OTHERWISE, MAINLY MODERATE TO LOCALLY  
FRESH TRADES WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE BASIN. THE AERIAL EXTENT  
AND THE STRENGTH OF THE TRADES ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE ACROSS  
THE TROPICAL N ATLANTIC WATERS ON MON, AND OVER MOST OF THE EAST  
AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN ON TUE AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS N OF THE  
AREA. BY WED, SEAS WILL BUILD TO 14 OR 15 FT NEAR THE COAST OF  
COLOMBIA.  
   
..SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS
 
 
A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 30N65W TO SOUTH FLORIDA. FRESH TO  
STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS ARE NOTED IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT PER  
SCATTEROMETER DATA. SEAS ARE IN THE 8-11 FT RANGE E OF 77W  
ACCORDING TO AN ALTIMETER PASS AND BUOY OBSERVATIONS. THE FRONT  
WILL STALL ALONG 26N/27N TONIGHT, THEN LIFT N OF THE AREA LATE  
SUN AHEAD OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVING OFF THE NE FLORIDA COAST  
SUN NIGHT. THE SECOND COLD FRONT WILL REACH FROM BERMUDA TO SOUTH  
FLORIDA BY EARLY TUE BEFORE STALLING THEN LIFTING N THROUGH MID  
WEEK. FRESH TO STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE  
SECOND COLD FRONT ACROSS THE NW WATERS WITH SEAS OF 7-8 FT.  
MODERATE TO FRESH NORTHERLY WINDS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT ON MON.  
 

 
   
WARNINGS
 
ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE  
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS II COLLABORATION CHAT, OR BY  
TELEPHONE:  
   
GULF OF MEXICO
 
 
NONE.  
 
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN  
55W AND 64W...   
AMZ031
 
CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W  
INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN...  
GALE WARNING TONIGHT.  
GALE WARNING SUN NIGHT.  
GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE MON NIGHT.  
GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE TUE NIGHT INTO THU.  
   
SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS
 
 
NONE.  
 

 
 
*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS, PLEASE VISIT:  
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF  
 
NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL  
DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:  
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP  
 
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION, PLEASE VISIT:  
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE  
 

 
 
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab TPC Page Main Text Page