333
WTPZ22 KNHC 172016
TCMEP2
TROPICAL STORM NORMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172023
2100 UTC TUE OCT 17 2023
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 107.3W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 107.3W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 107.0W
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 13.8N 108.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 50SE 30SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 15.0N 108.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT...130NE 90SE 60SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 16.0N 108.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE 70SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 16.9N 108.8W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE 80SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 17.8N 109.1W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 80SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 18.7N 109.6W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 80SW 130NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 20.9N 110.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 22.5N 110.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 107.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z
FORECASTER KELLY
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