073
WTPZ22 KNHC 180235
TCMEP2
TROPICAL STORM NORMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172023
0300 UTC WED OCT 18 2023
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 107.8W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 30SE 0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 30SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 107.8W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 107.6W
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 14.4N 108.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...130NE 60SE 30SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 15.5N 108.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 60SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 16.5N 108.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 70SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 17.3N 108.8W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 80SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 18.2N 109.2W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 80SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 19.2N 109.6W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 80SW 130NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 21.3N 110.2W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 22.5N 109.8W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 107.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z
FORECASTER PASCH
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