173
WTPZ22 KNHC 180850
TCMEP2
TROPICAL STORM NORMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172023
0900 UTC WED OCT 18 2023
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 107.9W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT.......120NE 30SE 30SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 107.9W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 107.8W
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 15.0N 108.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...130NE 60SE 30SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 16.2N 108.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 60SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 17.0N 108.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 70SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 17.9N 108.9W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 80SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 18.9N 109.4W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 80SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 20.0N 109.8W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 80SW 130NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 22.1N 110.1W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 22.9N 109.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 107.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z
FORECASTER BUCCI
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page