614
WTPZ22 KNHC 181453
TCMEP2
TROPICAL STORM NORMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172023
1500 UTC WED OCT 18 2023
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 107.9W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT.......120NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 107.9W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 107.9W
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 15.8N 108.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 60SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 16.9N 108.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 70SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 17.8N 108.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 70SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 18.7N 109.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 80SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 19.6N 109.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE 70SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.8N 109.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 70SW 100NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 21.9N 109.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 22.5N 109.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 107.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z
FORECASTER REINHART
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