999
WTNT25 KNHC 190248
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM TAMMY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202023
0300 UTC THU OCT 19 2023
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 53.1W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 53.1W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 52.5W
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 13.2N 55.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 50SE 0SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 13.7N 56.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 20SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 14.3N 58.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 20SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 15.4N 60.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 30SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 16.8N 61.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 18.4N 62.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 40SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 22.0N 63.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 27.5N 60.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N 53.1W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 19/0600Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
FORECASTER PAPIN
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