663
WTPZ22 KNHC 190251
TCMEP2
HURRICANE NORMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172023
0300 UTC THU OCT 19 2023
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 108.0W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT.......130NE 90SE 60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 108.0W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 108.0W
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 17.2N 108.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 80SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 18.3N 108.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 80SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 19.3N 108.9W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 70SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 20.6N 109.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 80SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 22.1N 109.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 23.0N 109.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 23.5N 109.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 24.0N 108.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 108.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY
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