899
WTPZ22 KNHC 201455
TCMEP2
HURRICANE NORMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172023
1500 UTC FRI OCT 20 2023
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 109.2W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 110SE 90SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 270SE 270SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 109.2W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 109.0W
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 20.6N 109.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE 90SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 22.1N 109.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 90SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 23.3N 109.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 80SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 23.9N 109.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 24.3N 108.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 24.7N 107.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 30SE 40SW 0NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 26.0N 106.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 109.2W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 20/1800Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z
FORECASTER REINHART
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