787
WTPZ22 KNHC 202050
TCMEP2
HURRICANE NORMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172023
2100 UTC FRI OCT 20 2023
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 109.8W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT.......140NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 240SE 270SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 109.8W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 109.5W
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.2N 110.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 22.6N 110.1W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 90SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 23.4N 109.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 23.9N 109.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 90SE 60SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 24.2N 108.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 24.6N 107.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 10SE 10SW 0NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 109.8W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 21/0000Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z
FORECASTER REINHART
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