596
FOPZ12 KNHC 202051
PWSEP2
HURRICANE NORMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172023
2100 UTC FRI OCT 20 2023
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
20.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
P ABREOJOS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 61 37(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 4 64(68) 10(78) 1(79) 1(80) X(80) X(80)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X 33(33) 14(47) 1(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 47 48(95) 3(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SAN JOSE CABO 50 2 48(50) 19(69) 1(70) 1(71) X(71) X(71)
SAN JOSE CABO 64 X 17(17) 16(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
LA PAZ 34 5 49(54) 19(73) 3(76) 1(77) X(77) X(77)
LA PAZ 50 X 8( 8) 13(21) 3(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
LA PAZ 64 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
LORETO 34 1 6( 7) 4(11) 2(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14)
GUAYMAS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
HUATABAMPO 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
LOS MOCHIS 34 1 3( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12)
CULIACAN 34 2 2( 4) 3( 7) 6(13) 7(20) X(20) X(20)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 4 4( 8) 3(11) 2(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14)
MAZATLAN 34 3 5( 8) 5(13) 4(17) 7(24) X(24) X(24)
SAN BLAS 34 2 3( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
P VALLARTA 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
20N 110W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
20N 110W 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
20N 110W 64 36 X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 7 3(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
25N 115W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
FORECASTER REINHART
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