746
WTPZ22 KNHC 210834
TCMEP2
HURRICANE NORMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172023
0900 UTC SAT OCT 21 2023
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 110.1W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 958 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT.......140NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 240SE 240SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 110.1W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 110.1W
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 22.7N 110.1W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 23.5N 109.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 90SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 23.9N 109.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 5SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 24.2N 108.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 24.7N 107.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.7N 110.1W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 21/1200Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z
FORECASTER ROBERTS
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