144
FOPZ12 KNHC 211449
PWSEP2
HURRICANE NORMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172023
1500 UTC SAT OCT 21 2023
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
22.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
P ABREOJOS 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64 80 X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SAN JOSE CABO 50 84 1(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
SAN JOSE CABO 64 33 1(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
LA PAZ 34 90 5(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
LA PAZ 50 36 15(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51)
LA PAZ 64 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
LORETO 34 5 5(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
GUAYMAS 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
HUATABAMPO 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LOS MOCHIS 34 2 6( 8) 3(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
CULIACAN 34 2 4( 6) 7(13) 5(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
MAZATLAN 34 4 4( 8) 3(11) 3(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15)
SAN BLAS 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
20N 110W 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
25N 115W 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
FORECASTER REINHART
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