616
FOPZ12 KNHC 220243
PWSEP2
TROPICAL STORM NORMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172023
0300 UTC SUN OCT 22 2023
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SAN JOSE CABO 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
LA PAZ 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
LORETO 34 3 X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
LOS MOCHIS 34 4 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
CULIACAN 34 3 15(18) 4(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MAZATLAN 34 4 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
FORECASTER KELLY
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