345
FOPZ13 KNHC 232031
PWSEP3
TROPICAL STORM OTIS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182023
2100 UTC MON OCT 23 2023
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OTIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
13.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
L CARDENAS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 9(15) X(15) X(15)
L CARDENAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ZIHUATANEJO 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 6(10) 12(22) X(22) X(22)
ZIHUATANEJO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ZIHUATANEJO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
15N 100W 34 2 15(17) 13(30) 4(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
15N 100W 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
15N 100W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
ACAPULCO 34 1 7( 8) 19(27) 21(48) 6(54) X(54) X(54)
ACAPULCO 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 3(16) X(16) X(16)
ACAPULCO 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
P MALDONADO 34 2 23(25) 32(57) 8(65) X(65) X(65) X(65)
P MALDONADO 50 X 1( 1) 12(13) 6(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
P MALDONADO 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
P ANGEL 34 2 11(13) 4(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
15N 95W 34 1 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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