020
FOPZ13 KNHC 241457
PWSEP3
TROPICAL STORM OTIS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182023
1500 UTC TUE OCT 24 2023
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OTIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 105W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MANZANILLO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
L CARDENAS 34 X 3( 3) 21(24) 15(39) 5(44) X(44) X(44)
L CARDENAS 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 5(16) X(16) X(16)
L CARDENAS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ZIHUATANEJO 34 X 12(12) 39(51) 11(62) 3(65) X(65) X(65)
ZIHUATANEJO 50 X X( X) 12(12) 11(23) 3(26) X(26) X(26)
ZIHUATANEJO 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11)
15N 100W 34 44 5(49) 2(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51)
15N 100W 50 4 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
15N 100W 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
ACAPULCO 34 11 78(89) 3(92) 1(93) X(93) X(93) X(93)
ACAPULCO 50 1 46(47) 9(56) 1(57) X(57) X(57) X(57)
ACAPULCO 64 X 18(18) 7(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
P MALDONADO 34 20 16(36) 4(40) X(40) 1(41) X(41) X(41)
P MALDONADO 50 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
P ANGEL 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
FORECASTER PASCH
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