713
FOPZ13 KNHC 242355
PWSEP3
HURRICANE OTIS SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182023
0000 UTC WED OCT 25 2023
AT 0000Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OTIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.7
NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 125
KTS...145 MPH...230 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
MANZANILLO 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
L CARDENAS 34 1 35(36) 19(55) 3(58) X(58) X(58) X(58)
L CARDENAS 50 X 5( 5) 14(19) 5(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
L CARDENAS 64 X 1( 1) 9(10) 5(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
ZIHUATANEJO 34 2 72(74) 9(83) 1(84) X(84) X(84) X(84)
ZIHUATANEJO 50 X 27(27) 14(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
ZIHUATANEJO 64 X 9( 9) 12(21) 3(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
15N 100W 34 67 1(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68)
ACAPULCO 34 94 4(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ACAPULCO 50 56 26(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82)
ACAPULCO 64 14 26(40) 1(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
P MALDONADO 34 18 3(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
FORECASTER BLAKE
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