498
WTPZ34 KNHC 291448
TCPEP4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192023
1000 AM CDT SUN OCT 29 2023
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN AS IT APPROACHES
CENTRAL AMERICA...
..HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO BE THE MAIN THREAT
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.0N 92.8W
ABOUT 305 MI...495 KM SW OF SAN SALVADOR EL SALVADOR
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN EL SALVADOR AND SOUTHERN GUATEMALA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM AS WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED LATER
TODAY.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
NINETEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.0 NORTH, LONGITUDE 92.8
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH
(4 KM/H). THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN MOVING NORTHEASTWARD OR
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TONIGHT, AND IT COULD BE NEAR THE COAST OF EL
SALVADOR OR GUATEMALA ON TUESDAY NIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH (55 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST, AND THE SYSTEM COULD BE
NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB (29.68 INCHES).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR THE DEPRESSION CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDEP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ44 KNHC
AND ON THE WEB AT HURRICANES.GOV/TEXT/MIATCDEP4.SHTML
RAINFALL: THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM
TOTAL RAINFALL OF 5 TO 10 INCHES, WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES,
IN AND NEAR MUCH OF THE PACIFIC COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA, INCLUDING
THE COUNTRY OF EL SALVADOR, THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THIS RAINFALL WILL
PRODUCE FLASH AND URBAN FLOODING, ALONG WITH MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF
HIGHER TERRAIN.
SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY THE DEPRESSION ARE EXPECTED TO REACH
PORTIONS OF THE PACIFIC COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA ON MONDAY. THESE
SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400 PM CDT.
FORECASTER BLAKE
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