954
WTPZ34 KNHC 300530
TCPEP4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM PILAR INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192023
100 AM CDT MON OCT 30 2023
...PILAR EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING
IN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...
SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.2N 91.7W
ABOUT 240 MI...390 KM SW OF SAN SALVADOR EL SALVADOR
ABOUT 370 MI...595 KM W OF MANAGUA NICARAGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ENTIRE COAST OF EL SALVADOR
* PACIFIC COAST OF HONDURAS INCLUDING THE GULF OF FONSECA
* HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER SOUTHWARD TO PUERTO SANDINO.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF NICARAGUA
AND IN SOUTHERN GUATEMALA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PILAR WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.2 NORTH, LONGITUDE 91.7 WEST. PILAR IS
MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH (7 KM/H) AND A CONTINUED
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS ANTICIPATED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, PILAR COULD BE NEAR THE COAST OF EL
SALVADOR ON TUESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY, THOUGH THE CORE OF THE
SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO STAY OFFSHORE.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH (65 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS, AND PILAR COULD BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH ON TUESDAY.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES (55 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB (29.62 INCHES).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR PILAR CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDEP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ44 KNHC
AND ON THE WEB AT HURRICANES.GOV/TEXT/MIATCDEP4.SHTML
RAINFALL: TROPICAL STORM PILAR IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL
RAINFALL OF 5 TO 10 INCHES, WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES, IN AND
AROUND MUCH OF THE PACIFIC COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA, INCLUDING THE
COUNTRY OF EL SALVADOR, THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THIS RAINFALL WILL
PRODUCE FLASH AND URBAN FLOODING, ALONG WITH MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF
HIGHER TERRAIN.
SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY PILAR ARE EXPECTED TO REACH PORTIONS OF
THE PACIFIC COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA LATER TODAY. THESE SWELLS ARE
LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
WIND: TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD BEGIN IN THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH AREA EARLY ON TUESDAY.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400 AM CDT.
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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