635
WTPZ34 KNHC 310241
TCPEP4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM PILAR ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192023
1000 PM CDT MON OCT 30 2023
...PILAR EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING OVER PORTIONS
OF CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.3N 90.9W
ABOUT 200 MI...325 KM SW OF SAN SALVADOR EL SALVADOR
ABOUT 315 MI...510 KM W OF MANAGUA NICARAGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ENTIRE COAST OF EL SALVADOR
* PACIFIC COAST OF HONDURAS INCLUDING THE GULF OF FONSECA
* HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER SOUTHWARD TO PUERTO SANDINO.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF NICARAGUA
AND IN SOUTHERN GUATEMALA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PILAR WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.3 NORTH, LONGITUDE 90.9 WEST. PILAR IS
MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH (7 KM/H) AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK, PILAR COULD BE NEAR THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR OR
NICARAGUA TUESDAY THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY, THOUGH THE CORE OF THE
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OFFSHORE. THE STORM IS FORECAST TO
BEGIN MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AWAY FROM LAND BY LATE WEDNESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH (85 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST, AND PILAR COULD BE NEAR HURRICANE
STRENGTH BY LATE TUESDAY. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY LATE
WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES (110 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB (29.53 INCHES).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR PILAR CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDEP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ44 KNHC
AND ON THE WEB AT HURRICANES.GOV/TEXT/MIATCDEP4.SHTML
RAINFALL: PILAR IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 5 TO
10 INCHES, WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES, OVER PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AMERICA FROM EL SALVADOR SOUTHWARD TO COSTA RICA THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. THIS RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE FLASH AND URBAN FLOODING,
ALONG WITH MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF HIGHER TERRAIN.
SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY PILAR ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AFFECTING
THE PACIFIC COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THESE
SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
WIND: TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD BEGIN IN THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH AREA TUESDAY MORNING.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 100 AM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400 AM CDT.
FORECASTER PASCH
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