342
WTPZ34 KNHC 011152
TCPEP4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM PILAR INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192023
700 AM CDT WED NOV 01 2023
...PILAR NEARLY STATIONARY OFF THE PACIFIC COAST OF CENTRAL
AMERICA...
..EXPECTED TO TURN WESTWARD LATER TODAY
SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.3N 89.9W
ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM SSW OF SAN SALVADOR EL SALVADOR
ABOUT 245 MI...390 KM W OF MANAGUA NICARAGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 1 MPH...2 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ENTIRE COAST OF EL SALVADOR
* PACIFIC COAST OF HONDURAS INCLUDING THE GULF OF FONSECA
* HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER SOUTHWARD TO PUERTO SANDINO
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, IN THIS CASE OVER THE NEXT 6 TO 12
HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PILAR WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.3 NORTH, LONGITUDE 89.9 WEST. PILAR IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 1 MPH (2 KM/H). PILAR HAS MOVED
LITTLE THE PAST FEW HOURS, BUT IT IS FORECAST TO TURN WESTWARD LATER
TODAY AND THEN ACCELERATE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH FRIDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK, PILAR WILL REMAIN IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE COAST
OF CENTRAL AMERICA THROUGH THIS MORNING, BUT THE CORE OF THE STORM
IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OFFSHORE.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH (95 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES (130 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB (29.42 INCHES).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR PILAR CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDEP4 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ44 KNHC
AND ON THE WEB AT HURRICANES.GOV/TEXT/MIATCDEP4.SHTML
RAINFALL: PILAR IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 5 TO
10 INCHES, WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES, FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
AMERICA FROM SOUTHERN EL SALVADOR, ACROSS SOUTHERN HONDURAS, WESTERN
NICARAGUA INTO NORTHERN COSTA RICA THROUGH TODAY. THIS RAINFALL WILL
PRODUCE FLASH AND URBAN FLOODING, ALONG WITH MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF
HIGHER TERRAIN.
SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY PILAR ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AFFECTING
THE PACIFIC COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.
WIND: TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH AREA THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000 AM CDT.
FORECASTER BROWN
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