646  
WTNT22 KNHC 171433  
TCMAT2  
 
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWENTY-TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL222023  
1500 UTC FRI NOV 17 2023  
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO  
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).  
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE  
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).  
 
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 79.1W AT 17/1500Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 12 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.  
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 79.1W AT 17/1500Z  
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 79.8W  
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 19.3N 76.8W...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 21.9N 73.3W...TROPICAL STORM  
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.  
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 25.2N 68.9W  
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.  
34 KT... 80NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 28.3N 64.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP  
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.  
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 40SW 0NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 31.8N 61.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP  
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.  
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 40SW 0NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z...DISSIPATED  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 79.1W  
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 17/1800Z  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z  
 

 
FORECASTER BERG  
 
 
 
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