814  
FOUS71 KRHA 210150  
FFHPA2  
HEADWATER STATEMENT FOR THE DELAWARE AND SUSQUEHANNA BASINS  
MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA  
931 PM EDT FRI OCT 20 2017  
 
APPROXIMATE 1/3/6/12-HR BASIN AVERAGED RAINFALL (INCHES)  
REQUIRED TO CAUSE MINOR, MODERATE, AND MAJOR FLOODING AT  
THE INDICATED HEADWATER LOCATIONS.  
 
.B RHA 171021 Z DH00/DC1710210131/DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF  
:  
:IDENT 1HR 3HR 6HR 12HR HEADWATER NAME  
:======= ==== ==== ==== ==== ====================  
:  
: NWS BINGHAMTON SERVICE AREA...  
: SUSQUEHANNA BASIN...  
: CHENANGO RIVER...  
SHBN6 3.2/ 3.3/ 3.4/ 3.4 :SHERBURNE (8.5FT.)  
:SHBN6MD 3.8/ 4.0/ 4.1/ 4.1 SHERBURNE (9)  
:SHBN6MJ 4.4/ 4.6/ 4.8/ 4.8 SHERBURNE (10.6)  
: OTSELIC RIVER...  
CINN6 4.5/ 4.7/ 5.0/ 5.2 :CINCINNATUS (9FT.)  
: ...MODERATE AND MAJOR FLOOD STAGES ABOVE RATING TABLE.  
: COHOCTON RIVER...  
CMPN6 3.1/ 3.7/ 4.0/ 4.1 :CAMPBELL (8FT.)  
:CMPN6MD 4.1/ 4.9/ 5.4/ 5.5 CAMPBELL (10)  
:CMPN6MJ 4.9/ 6.0/ 6.6/ 6.9 CAMPBELL (11)  
: CANISTEO RIVER...  
WCRN6 3.6/ 4.1/ 4.4/ 4.7 :WEST CAMERON (17FT)  
:WCRN6MD 3.9/ 4.4/ 4.8/ 5.2 WEST CAMERON (18)  
:WCRN6MJ 4.8/ 5.6/ 6.2/ 6.7 WEST CAMERON (21)  
: TOWANDA CREEK...  
MONP1 3.2/ 3.3/ 3.4/ 3.8 :MONROETON (15.5FT)  
:MONP1MD 3.7/ 3.8/ 3.9/ 4.4 MONROETON (17)  
:MONP1MJ 4.4/ 4.5/ 4.7/ 5.4 MONROETON (18.5)  
: TUNKHANNOCK CREEK...  
TNKP1 2.9/ 3.4/ 4.0/ 4.5 :TUNKHANNOCK (11FT.)  
:TNKP1MD 3.5/ 4.1/ 4.9/ 5.6 TUNKHANNOCK (14)  
:TNKP1MJ 4.1/ 4.9/ 5.9/ 6.8 TUNKHANNOCK (17)  
: LACKAWANNA RIVER...  
OFRP1 4.8/ 5.3/ 5.8/ 6.2 :OLD FORGE (11FT.)  
:OFRP1MD 5.4/ 6.0/ 6.7/ 7.1 OLD FORGE (13)  
:OFRP1MJ 6.4/ 7.0/ 7.4/ 8.0 OLD FORGE (16)  
: DELAWARE BASIN...  
: EAST BRANCH DELAWARE RIVER...  
MRGN6 3.9/ 4.3/ 4.8/ 5.4 :MARGARETVILLE (11FT)  
:MRGN6MD 4.6/ 5.0/ 5.8/ 6.6 MARGARETVILLE (12)  
:MRGN6MJ 5.3/ 5.9/ 6.9/ 8.0 MARGARETVILLE (13)  
: WEST BRANCH DELAWARE RIVER...  
WALN6 2.9/ 3.1/ 3.1/ 3.2 :WALTON (9.5FT.)  
:WALN6MD 4.6/ 5.0/ 5.0/ 5.2 WALTON (14)  
:WALN6MJ 5.9/ 6.4/ 6.5/ 6.8 WALTON (16)  
: BEAVERKILL CREEK...  
CKFN6 3.0/ 3.6/ 4.2/ 4.7 :COOKS FALLS (10FT.)  
:CKFN6MD 5.0/ 6.2/ 7.4/ 8.0 COOKS FALLS (16)  
:CKFN6MJ 5.9/ 7.0/ 7.4/ 8.0 COOKS FALLS (18)  
: LACKAWAXEN RIVER...  
HWYP1 4.5/ 5.0/ 5.2/ 5.3 :HAWLEY (11FT.)  
:HWYP1MD 4.9/ 5.4/ 5.7/ 5.9 HAWLEY (12)  
:HWYP1MJ 6.5/ 7.0/ 7.4/ 8.0 HAWLEY (20)  
:  
: NWS STATE COLLEGE SERVICE AREA...  
: SUSQUEHANNA BASIN...  
: TIOGA RIVER...  
MFDP1 3.7/ 3.8/ 4.0/ 4.7 :MANSFIELD (12FT.)  
:MFDP1MD 4.1/ 4.3/ 4.6/ 5.4 MANSFIELD (13)  
:MFDP1MJ 4.7/ 4.9/ 5.3/ 6.4 MANSFIELD (14)  
: PENNS CREEK...  
PNCP1 2.8/ 3.1/ 3.4/ 3.7 :PENNS CREEK (8FT.)  
:PNCP1MD 3.3/ 3.9/ 4.3/ 4.7 PENNS CREEK (10)  
:PNCP1MJ 4.2/ 5.0/ 5.5/ 6.1 PENNS CREEK (12)  
: FRANKSTOWN BRANCH JUNIATA RIVER...  
WIBP1 2.6/ 2.8/ 3.2/ 3.5 :WILLIAMSBURG (12FT)  
:WIBP1MD 2.8/ 3.0/ 3.5/ 3.7 WILLIAMSBURG (13)  
:WIBP1MJ 3.2/ 3.5/ 4.1/ 4.4 WILLIAMSBURG (15)  
: LITTLE JUNIATA RIVER...  
SPKP1 2.6/ 2.9/ 3.4/ 3.7 :SPRUCE CREEK (8FT.)  
:SPKP1MD 3.1/ 3.5/ 4.1/ 4.5 SPRUCE CREEK (10)  
:SPKP1MJ 4.4/ 4.9/ 5.8/ 6.5 SPRUCE CREEK (14)  
: AUGHWICK CREEK...  
SLYP1 3.1/ 3.2/ 3.3/ 3.4 :SHIRLEYSBURG (10FT.)  
:SLYP1MD 3.9/ 3.9/ 4.0/ 4.3 SHIRLEYSBURG (12)  
:SLYP1MJ 6.5/ 7.0/ 7.4/ 8.0 SHIRLEYSBURG (20)  
: SHERMAN CREEK...  
SMDP1 3.2/ 3.5/ 3.8/ 3.9 :SHERMANS DALE (9FT)  
:SMDP1MD 3.9/ 4.3/ 4.7/ 4.9 SHERMANS DALE (11)  
:SMDP1MJ 5.9/ 6.6/ 7.4/ 7.8 SHERMANS DALE (16)  
: CONODOGUINET CREEK...  
HGSP1 3.8/ 3.8/ 3.8/ 3.9 :HOGESTOWN (8FT.)  
:HGSP1MD 5.0/ 5.0/ 5.0/ 5.0 HOGESTOWN (10)  
:HGSP1MJ 6.2/ 6.2/ 6.2/ 6.3 HOGESTOWN (12)  
: YELLOW BREECHES CREEK...  
CPHP1 4.0/ 4.1/ 4.1/ 4.2 :CAMP HILL (7FT.)  
:CPHP1MD 4.8/ 4.9/ 4.9/ 5.1 CAMP HILL (9)  
:CPHP1MJ 6.5/ 7.0/ 7.4/ 7.6 CAMP HILL (13)  
: SWATARA CREEK...  
HTVP1 3.2/ 3.3/ 3.4/ 3.6 :HARPER TAVERN (9FT.)  
:HTVP1MD 4.1/ 4.2/ 4.3/ 4.6 HARPER TAVERN (12)  
:HTVP1MJ 5.1/ 5.2/ 5.4/ 5.8 HARPER TAVERN (15)  
: CONESTOGA RIVER...  
LNCP1 3.7/ 3.8/ 4.0/ 4.3 :LANCASTER (11FT.)  
:LNCP1MD 4.4/ 4.5/ 4.7/ 5.1 LANCASTER (13)  
:LNCP1MJ 5.1/ 5.3/ 5.5/ 5.9 LANCASTER (15)  
: DELAWARE BASIN...  
: SCHUYLKILL RIVER...  
LGVP1 3.0/ 3.2/ 3.3/ 3.5 :LANDINGVILLE (8FT)  
:LGVP1MD 3.8/ 4.1/ 4.3/ 4.7 LANDINGVILLE (12)  
:LGVP1MJ 4.6/ 5.1/ 5.3/ 5.9 LANDINGVILLE (14)  
:  
: NWS MT. HOLLY SERVICE AREA...  
: DELAWARE BASIN...  
: SCHUYLKILL RIVER...  
BREP1 4.3/ 4.6/ 5.2/ 5.6 :BERNE (12FT.)  
:BREP1MD 5.4/ 5.7/ 6.5/ 7.0 BERNE (14)  
:BREP1MJ 6.5/ 6.9/ 7.4/ 8.0 BERNE (16)  
: BUSH KILL...  
SHOP1 5.5/ 5.8/ 5.9/ 6.1 :SHOEMAKERS (6FT.)  
:SHOP1MD 6.2/ 6.6/ 6.7/ 6.9 SHOEMAKERS (7)  
:SHOP1MJ 6.5/ 7.0/ 7.4/ 7.8 SHOEMAKERS (8)  
: BRODHEAD CREEK...  
MNSP1 4.7/ 5.3/ 6.2/ 6.5 :MINISINK HILLS(10FT)  
:MNSP1MD 5.6/ 6.3/ 7.4/ 7.7 MINISINK HILLS(12)  
:MNSP1MJ 6.5/ 7.0/ 7.4/ 8.0 MINISINK HILLS(15)  
: LITTLE LEHIGH CREEK...  
APAP1 4.5/ 4.8/ 5.3/ 6.1 :ALLENTOWN-10TH (8FT)  
:APAP1MD 5.5/ 5.8/ 6.5/ 7.7 ALLENTOWN-10TH (10)  
:APAP1MJ 6.5/ 7.0/ 7.4/ 8.0 ALLENTOWN-10TH (12)  
: PERKIOMEN CREEK...  
GRAP1 2.9/ 3.4/ 3.7/ 4.3 :GRATERFORD (11FT.)  
:GRAP1MD 3.2/ 3.9/ 4.2/ 5.0 GRATERFORD (13)  
:GRAP1MJ 3.9/ 4.8/ 5.2/ 6.3 GRATERFORD (16)  
: NESHAMINY CREEK...  
LNGP1 2.7/ 3.1/ 3.2/ 3.6 :LANGHORNE (9FT.)  
:LNGP1MD 2.9/ 3.4/ 3.5/ 3.9 LANGHORNE (10)  
:LNGP1MJ 3.3/ 3.9/ 4.0/ 4.4 LANGHORNE (12)  
: CHESTER CREEK...  
CHSP1 2.8/ 2.8/ 3.1/ 3.8 :CHESTER (8FT.)  
:CHSP1MD 3.3/ 3.4/ 3.8/ 4.6 CHESTER (10)  
:CHSP1MJ 4.3/ 4.5/ 4.9/ 6.0 CHESTER (14)  
: WEST BRANCH BRANDYWINE CREEK...  
MODP1 6.0/ 6.2/ 6.7/ 7.0 :MODENA (9FT)  
:MODP1MD 6.5/ 7.0/ 7.4/ 8.0 MODENA (10)  
:MODP1MJ 6.5/ 7.0/ 7.4/ 8.0 MODENA (12)  
: EAST BRANCH BRANDYWINE CREEK...  
DWNP1 3.0/ 3.0/ 3.1/ 3.3 :DOWNINGTOWN (7FT)  
:DWNP1MD 3.4/ 3.5/ 3.6/ 3.9 DOWNINGTOWN (8)  
:DWNP1MJ 3.9/ 3.9/ 4.0/ 4.3 DOWNINGTOWN (9)  
: BRANDYWINE CREEK...  
CDFP1 2.4/ 3.0/ 3.4/ 3.6 :CHADDS FORD (9FT.)  
:CDFP1MD 2.8/ 3.6/ 4.2/ 4.3 CHADDS FORD (11)  
:CDFP1MJ 3.3/ 4.2/ 4.9/ 5.1 CHADDS FORD (13)  
: CHRISTINA RIVER...  
CHBD1 2.1/ 2.3/ 2.5/ 3.4 :COOCHS BRDG(11FT)  
:CHBD1MD 2.8/ 3.0/ 3.5/ 4.6 COOCHS BRDG(12)  
:CHBD1MJ 3.9/ 4.2/ 4.8/ 6.5 COOCHS BRDG(13)  
: WHITE CLAY CREEK...  
DPKD1 2.6/ 2.7/ 2.9/ 3.6 :DELAWARE PK (13FT)  
:DPKD1MD 3.6/ 3.7/ 4.0/ 4.9 DELAWARE PK (15)  
:DPKD1MJ 5.1/ 5.3/ 5.8/ 7.3 DELAWARE PK (16.5)  
: RED CLAY CREEK...  
RCCD1 3.0/ 3.2/ 3.5/ 4.1 :WOODDALE (7FT)  
:RCCD1MD 3.7/ 4.0/ 4.4/ 5.0 WOODDALE (8.5)  
:RCCD1MJ 4.4/ 4.7/ 5.1/ 6.0 WOODDALE (10)  
.END  
 
UPPER DELAWARE BASIN WATER SUPPLY GUIDANCE  
 
APPROXIMATE RUNOFF (IN MILLIONS OF GALLONS) PRODUCED FROM EACH OF  
THE FOLLOWING 6-HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS (IN INCHES)...  
 
.BR RHA 20171021 Z DH00/DC1710210150/DUE/QMXC1/QMXC2/QMXC3  
.B1 /QMXC4/QMXC5/QMXC6  
: RAINFALL  
:IDENT 0.1 0.5 1.0 2.0 3.0 5.0 LOCATION  
:======= ===== ====== ====== ====== ======= ======= ================  
CANN6DEL 37/ 207/ 537/ 1816/ 4185/ 12334 :CANNONSVILLE-456SQMI  
DWNN6DEL 21/ 113/ 307/ 1182/ 3009/ 9855 :PEPACTON-372SQMI  
LWKP1WPK 18/ 79/ 205/ 700/ 1629/ 4990 :WALLENPAUPACK-228SQM  
NVRN6NVR 9/ 37/ 93/ 311/ 717/ 2149 :NEVERSINK-93SQMI  
.END  
 
:===============================================================  
: EXPERIMENTAL NON-FCST POINT RAW MODEL OUTPUT  
: NO MANUAL QC OR ADJUSTMENTS APPLIED...USE WITH CAUTION  
:===============================================================  
:  
: NWS BINGHAMTON SERVICE AREA...  
.B RHA 171021 Z DH00/DC1710210131/DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF  
:GAGEID 1HR 3HR 6HR 12HR RAINFALL FOR INDICATED STAGES  
: LACKAWANNA RIVER...  
ARHP1 4.2/ 4.3/ 4.7/ 5.6 :ARCHBALD (8FT.)  
:ARHP1MD 4.8/ 5.0/ 5.4/ 6.5 ARCHBALD (9)  
:ARHP1MJ 5.4/ 5.6/ 6.2/ 7.6 ARCHBALD (10)  
PKIP1 3.6/ 3.6/ 3.8/ 4.2 :SCRANTON (7.5FT.)  
:PKIP1MD 4.0/ 4.1/ 4.2/ 4.6 SCRANTON (8)  
:PKIP1MJ 4.2/ 4.3/ 4.4/ 4.9 SCRANTON (9.5)  
.END  
: MODEL-SIMULATED 3-HOURLY STAGE FORECASTS INCLUDING QPF...  
.E ARHP1 20171021 DC1710210150/DH03/HGIFX/DIH3/  
.E1 1.8/1.8/1.8/1.8/1.8/1.8/1.8/1.8  
.E PKIP1 20171021 DC1710210150/DH03/HGIFX/DIH3/  
.E1 1.4/1.4/1.4/1.4/1.4/1.4/1.4/1.4  
:CHPS  

 
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