213  
AXUS74 KSHV 100500  
DGTSHV  
 
DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA  
1100 PM CST THU NOV 9 2017  
 
...VERY DRY CONDITIONS SINCE LATE AUGUST HAS RESULTED IN THE  
DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS OVER MUCH OF SOUTHWEST  
ARKANSAS, EXTREME NORTHEAST TEXAS, AND NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...  
 
SYNOPSIS...  
 
AFTER OBSERVING EXCESSIVE AMOUNTS OF RAIN ACROSS THE ARK-LA-TEX DURING MUCH  
OF AUGUST, COURTESY OF A FEW STALLED FRONTAL SYSTEMS AND THE REMNANTS OF  
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY, VERY DRY CONDITIONS HAVE MATERIALIZED DURING  
SEPTEMBER AND OCTOBER OVER MUCH OF THE AREA, RESULTING IN FLASH DROUGHT  
CONDITIONS DEVELOPING OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST TEXAS, SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA,  
SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS, AND EXTREME NORTHERN LOUISIANA. IN FACT, RECORD TO NEAR  
RECORD DRY CONDITIONS WERE OBSERVED DURING SEPTEMBER ACROSS MUCH OF THIS  
AREA, AS LITTLE IF ANY RAIN FELL OVER THESE AREAS DURING THE MONTH. OCTOBER  
DID SEE SOME RAIN, RANGING FROM ONE TO THREE INCHES AREAWIDE WITH ISOLATED  
HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER DEEP EAST TEXAS, BUT TWO MONTH RAINFALL DEPARTURE FROM  
NORMAL DEFICITS RANGED FROM FOUR TO NEAR EIGHT INCHES AREAWIDE. ABOVE NORMAL  
TEMPERATURES THAT WERE OBSERVED DURING OCTOBER ONLY HELPED TO EXASPERATE THE  
DEVELOPING DRY CONDITIONS, WITH SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS BEGINNING TO AFFECT THE  
AGRICULTURAL SECTOR AS FARMERS/RANCHERS ARE BEHIND IN PLANTING THEIR WINTER  
PASTURE AND WHEAT CROPS, AND SOME OF THEIR STOCK WATER TANKS HAVE DRIED UP OR  
BEEN SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED. IN ADDITION, MANY TREES BEGAN TO SHED THEIR LEAVES  
EARLY, WITH EVEN SOME SHALLOW ROOTED TREES HAVING DIED ACROSS PORTIONS OF  
SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS. GIVEN THESE IMPACTS, AND THE LACK OF SIGNIFICANT RAINS,  
SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS (D2) HAVE DEVELOPED OVER SOUTHERN BOWIE, MUCH OF  
CASS, AND EASTERN MARION COUNTY TEXAS, AS WELL AS MUCH OF SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS,  
AND NORTHERN CADDO, BOSSIER, WEBSTER, AND CLAIBORNE PARISHES IN NORTHWEST  
LOUISIANA. SURROUNDING THIS AREA, MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS (D1) HAVE  
DEVELOPED ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHEAST TEXAS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20, AS WELL AS  
MUCH OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA, AND EXTREME NORTHERN LOUISIANA ALONG AND NORTH OF  
INTERSTATE 20 BETWEEN SHREVEPORT AND RUSTON. FARTHER SOUTH, ABNORMALLY DRY  
CONDITIONS (D0) EXIST ACROSS MUCH OF EAST TEXAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA.  
 
SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...  
 
AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS.  
MUCH BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL SINCE LATE AUGUST HAS RESULTED IN TOPSOIL  
MOISTURE DEFICITS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EXTREME NORTHEAST TEXAS, SOUTHEAST  
OKLAHOMA, SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS, AND EXTREME NORTHERN LOUISIANA. IN ADDITION,  
FARMERS IN NORTHEAST TEXAS HAVE REPORTED THAT STOCK WATER TANKS WERE SHOWING  
SIGNS OF DROUGHT STRESS OR HAVE DRIED UP ALL-TOGETHER. PRODUCERS ARE WAITING  
FOR ADDITIONAL RAINFALL BEFORE PLANTING THEIR WINTER PASTURE AND WHEAT CROPS,  
WITH SOME PRODUCERS THAT HAVE ALREADY PLANTED POSSIBLY LOSING THEIR CROPS DUE  
TO THE LACK OF WATER.  
 
FIRE DANGER IMPACTS.  
A BURN BAN REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR RED RIVER COUNTY TEXAS. ELSEWHERE, NO  
BURN BANS ARE IN EFFECT DUE TO RECENT RAINFALL. FIRE DANGER IS EXPECTED TO  
REMAIN LOW TO MODERATE THROUGH MUCH OF NOVEMBER.  
 
CURRENT WATER RESTRICTIONS.  
VOLUNTARY WATER RESTRICTIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR SMALLER RURAL WATER  
SYSTEMS ACROSS EAST TEXAS. NO OTHER KNOWN WATER RESTRICTIONS ARE IN EFFECT  
AT THIS TIME.  
 
CLIMATE SUMMARY...  
MOSTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES, ESPECIALLY DURING OCTOBER, COUPLED WITH  
MUCH BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL, HAVE BEEN OBSERVED AREAWIDE DURING SEPTEMBER AND  
OCTOBER. BELOW IS A LIST OF THE SEPTEMBER-OCTOBER RAINFALL TOTALS, THEIR  
DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL, PERCENTAGES OF NORMAL, AND DRIEST SEPTEMBER-OCTOBER  
RANKS, FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION:  
 
CITY: SEPTEMBER-OCTOBER PERCENTAGE DRIEST RANK  
RAINFALL/(DEP. FROM NORM) OF NORMAL  
 
SHREVEPORT LA 1.13 (-6.99) 14% 6TH  
 
MONROE LA 1.71 (-6.70) 20% 10TH  
 
NATCHITOCHES LA 1.22 (-7.20) 14% 3RD  
 
TEXARKANA AR 2.76 (-5.60) 33% ----  
 
EL DORADO AR 2.26 (-6.04) 27% T11TH  
 
HOPE 3NE AR 1.37 (-7.71) 15% 3RD  
 
DEQUEEN AR 1.70 (-6.43) 21% 2ND  
 
MT. PLEASANT TX 2.20 (-5.92) 27% 9TH  
 
TYLER TX 1.83 (-6.36) 22% N/A  
(AIRPORT)  
 
TYLER TX 2.08 (-5.88) 26% N/A  
(COOPERATIVE OBSERVING STATION)  
 
LONGVIEW TX 2.08 (-5.84) 26% 15TH  
 
MARSHALL TX 1.84 (-6.41) 22% 10TH  
 
LUFKIN TX 5.57 (-3.34) 63% ----  
 
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA MESONET STATIONS:  
MT. HERMAN 3.66 (-5.89) 38%  
BROKEN BOW 2.65 (-6.90) 28%  
IDABEL 2.02 (-7.44) 21%  
 
 
PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...  
NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE AREAWIDE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK,  
BEFORE A GRADUAL WARMING TREND BEGINS THROUGH MID AND LATE WEEK. A WEAK  
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL DROP SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY,  
WHICH MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED SHOWER DEVELOPMENT OVER PORTIONS OF THE  
REGION. HOWEVER, RAINFALL AMOUNTS IF ANY WILL BE LIGHT. ISOLATED TO  
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE BY LATE  
NEXT WEEK, WITH THE PASSAGE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT WHICH WILL BRING ABOUT  
A MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR MASS BACK INTO THE REGION.  
 
THE THREE MONTH TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK FOR NOVEMBER-  
DECEMBER-JANUARY, ISSUED BY THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC), INDICATES  
ABOVE NORMAL PROBABILITIES FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BELOW NORMAL  
PRECIPITATION AREAWIDE. THIS IS IN RESPONSE TO A WEAK LA NINA THAT HAS  
DEVELOPED IN THE EQUATORIAL PACIFIC, WHICH WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WINTER.  
THUS, DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE WINTER MONTHS,  
AND POSSIBLY EXPAND IN AREA WITH TIME.  
 
HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...  
MANY LAKES AND RESERVOIRS HAVE FALLEN ONE TO THREE FEET BELOW NORMAL POOL  
STAGE. LITTLE CHANGE TO ADDITIONAL SLOW FALLS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH MUCH OF  
NOVEMBER AS LITTLE IN THE WAY OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED.  
 
NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...  
 
THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED IN EARLY/MID-DECEMBER.  
 

 
 
RELATED WEB SITES...  
 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT HOMEPAGE: WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SHV  
NATIONAL INTEGRATED DROUGHT INFORMATION SYSTEM: WWW.DROUGHT.GOV  
U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR: WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML  
DROUGHT IMPACT REPORTER: WWW.DROUGHTREPORTER.UNL.EDU  
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER: WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV  
LA OFFICE OF STATE CLIMATOLOGY: WWW.LOSC.LSU.EDU  
TX OFFICE OF STATE CLIMATOLOGY: WWW.MET.TAMI.EDU/OSC  
OK CLIMATOLOGICAL SURVEY: HTTP://CLIMATE.OK.GOV  
UNITED STATE GEOLOGICAL SURVEY: HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV  
TEXAS A&M AGRICULTURAL COMMUNICATIONS-AGNEWS: HTTP://AGNEWS.TAMU.EDU  
LA DEPT. OF AGRICULTURE AND FORESTRY: HTTP://WWW.LDAF.STATE.LA.US/  
TEXAS FOREST SERVICE: HTTP://WWW.TEXASFORESTSERVICE.TAMU.EDU  
ARKANSAS FIRE INFO: HTTP://WWW.ARKFIREINFO.ORG  
OKLAHOMA FORESTRY SERVICES: HTTP://WWW.FORESTRY.OK.GOV/WILDLAND-FIRE  
LSU AG CENTER: HTTP://WWW.LSUAGCENTER.COM  
 
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS...  
 
THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR FACILITATED COLLABORATION AMONGST VARIOUS  
AGENCIES...INCLUDING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...STATE  
CLIMATOLOGISTS...THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...AND THE U.S. DROUGHT  
MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FROM THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED  
FROM NWS/FAA OBSERVATIONS SITES...THE USDA...THE CORPS OF ENGINEERS...  
USGS...TEXAS FOREST SERVICE...TEXAS INTERAGENCY COORDINATION CENTER...  
ARKANSAS FORESTRY COMMISSION...AND THE OKLAHOMA FORESTRY SERVICES.  
 
QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...  
 
IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION  
STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT:  
 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE  
5655 HOLLYWOOD AVE.  
SHREVEPORT LA 71109  
 
PHONE: (318) 631-3669  
EMAIL: SR-SHV.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV  
 

 
 
15/HANSFORD  
 
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