216
FXUS01 KWBC 130803
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
403 AM EDT SAT SEP 13 2008
VALID 12Z SAT SEP 13 2008 - 00Z MON SEP 15 2008
HURRICANE IKE HAS MADE LANDFALL OVER THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF TEXAS.
THE STORM IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWARD INLAND OVER TEXAS AND
SLOWLY CURVE TO THE NORTHEAST AS THE SYSTEM BECOMES AN
EXTRATROPICAL WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG A FRONT OVER THE
MISSOURI/ARKANSAS BORDER BY SUNDAY MORNING. FROM THERE ... WHAT
REMAINS OF IKE WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD TO THE WESTERN OHIO
VALLEY/GREAT LAKES BY SUNDAY EVENING. HEAVY RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY IKE INLAND OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL
PORTION OF THE COUNTRY THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. ON SUNDAY THE
HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MIDDLE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE EASTERN MIDWEST. FOR THE LATEST ON
HURRICANE IKE CHECK THE LATEST TROPICAL ADVISORY FROM THE TROPICAL
PREDICTION CENTER.
MEANWHILE ... A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT TO THE NORTHWEST OF
HURRICANE IKE WILL AID IN TRIGGERING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG AND NEAR THE BOUNDARY FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS ON SATURDAY. A SECOND FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL
SLOWLY DISSIPATE AS THE COLD AIR CATCHES UP TO THE STATIONARY
BOUNDARY OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS FRONT WILL AID IN
PRODUCING RAIN FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS TO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.
THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT ONCE WAS IKE WILL COME TO DOMINATE
THE AFOREMENTIONED STATIONARY FRONT AS THE SURFACE LOW PUSHES
NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE GREAT LAKES BY THE END OF SUNDAY. MODERATE
TO HEAVY RAIN WILL DEVELOP OVER THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND
SPREAD INTO THE GREAT LAKES. THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
EASTWARD AS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP OVER THE
CENTRAL/WESTERN GULF COAST ON SUNDAY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS WILL
ALSO DEVELOP OVER THE NORTHEAST LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. IN THE
MEAN TIME ... HIGH PRESSURE OVER WESTERN CANADA WILL MOVE
SOUTHEASTWARD TO THE CENTRAL PLAINS ... CONTROLLING THE WEATHER
OVER THE WESTERN THIRD OF THE LOWER 48 STATES BY SUNDAY EVENING.
ZIEGENFELDER
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page