251  
FXUS01 KWBC 190801  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD  
400 AM EDT MON OCT 19 2009  
 
VALID 12Z MON OCT 19 2009 - 00Z WED OCT 21 2009  
 
AS ONE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES FURTHER OFFSHORE OUT INTO THE  
NORTHERN ATLANTIC...BRINGING AN END TO THE WET WEATHER IN THE  
EAST...ANOTHER WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT THE WESTERN U.S. IN BETWEEN  
THESE TWO WEATHER SYSTEMS...A LARGE AREA HIGH PRESSURE WILL  
PROMOTE FAIR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE CENTRAL INTO THE EASTERN U.S.  
HOWEVER...BY TUESDAY MORNING...CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO  
DETERIORATE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST AS  
MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTH MOVES ACROSS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLING  
SOUTH OF THE REGION.  
 
CURRENTLY...THE LAST IN A SERIES OF SURFACE CYCLONES IMPACTING THE  
NORTHEASTERN U.S. IS MOVING OFF OF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST WITH THE  
LAST OF THE LIGHT RAIN AND HIGHER ELEVATION SNOWS EXPECTED TO END  
LATER TODAY. IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM...AN EXPANSIVE AREA OF  
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL DROP INTO THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE U.S.  
PROMOTING DRIER WEATHER FOR THE EARLY PART OF THE WORK WEEK. IT  
WILL ALSO SUPPORT ANOMALOUSLY COOL OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES OVER  
PORTIONS OF THE OHIO AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS...SOUTHEAST AND  
SOUTHERN MID ATLANTIC STATES...WHICH MAY BRING THE GROWING SEASON  
TO A CLOSE.  
 
FURTHER TO THE WEST...A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IS FORECAST  
TO DROP SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND THE CENTRAL  
GREAT BASIN INTO THE DESERT SOUTHWEST LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY.  
LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN SHOWERS ARE FORECAST ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE  
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN GREAT BASIN  
AND INTO THE ROCKIES TODAY. AS THE SYSTEM SWINGS ACROSS THE  
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS DOWNSTREAM ARE  
FORECAST TO PULL MOISTURE UP THROUGH THE PLAINS PROMOTING THE  
INCREASING CHANCE FOR RAIN ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS  
INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST BEGINNING LATER TODAY. AS THE UPPER  
SYSTEM'S ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT BEGINS TO EMERGE OUT INTO THE  
SOUTHERN PLAINS LATE TUESDAY...SOME ORGANIZED SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BEGIN TO DEVELOP ACROSS THAT REGION.  
 
PEREIRA  
 
GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV  
 
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