491  
FXUS01 KWBC 241922  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
322 PM EDT MON APR 24 2023  
 
VALID 00Z TUE APR 25 2023 - 00Z THU APR 27 2023  
 
...BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR LARGE PORTIONS OF THE NATION TO  
THE EAST OF THE ROCKIES, WHILE ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES EXPAND  
ACROSS THE WEST...  
 
...HEAVY RAINS, ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING AND SEVERE WEATHER  
POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN PLAINS...  
 
...ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO PERSIST ACROSS  
THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...  
 
A COOL SPRING WEATHER PATTERN ON TAP FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS FOR  
MOST AREAS TO THE EAST OF THE ROCKIES. A BROAD MID TO UPPER LEVEL  
TROF WILL REMAIN ENTRENCHED ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL TO EASTERN  
HALF OF THE NATION, SUPPORTING BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURE OVER THE  
NEXT FEW DAYS FOR MOST AREAS TO THE EAST OF THE ROCKIES. HIGH  
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE 5 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE  
ACROSS THESE REGIONS. A SMALL REGION ACROSS THE CENTRAL TO  
SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL SEE HIGH TEMPERATURES AS MUCH AS 20 TO 25  
DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS WILL BE  
ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF POTENTIALLY HEAVY RAINS THAT SPREAD  
EAST SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN  
PLAINS FROM SOUTHEAST COLORADO, WESTERN AND SOUTHERN KANSAS, ALL  
OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTHERN TEXAS. THESE HEAVY RAINS MAY LEAD TO  
ISOLATE AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THESE REGIONS. SEVERE  
WEATHER IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS AREA OF HEAVY RAINS, ESPECIALLY  
ALONG THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION REGION ACROSS  
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF TEXAS.  
 
FARTHER TO THE SOUTH AND WEST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS, DRY  
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.  
THESE DRY CONDITIONS, COMBINED WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND  
GUSTY WINDS WILL KEEP THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT AT AN ELEVATED TO  
CRITICAL LEVEL OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS ACROSS LARGE PORTIONS OF NEW  
MEXICO, FAR SOUTHEASTERN ARIZONA AND SOUTHWEST TEXAS. FIRE  
WEATHER WATCHES ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT ACROSS THESE REGIONS.  
 
THE COOL SPRING WEATHER PATTERN WILL ALSO SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR  
WIDESPREAD FROSTS AND FREEZES EARLY TUESDAY MORNING ACROSS THE  
UPPER OHIO VALLEY, THE SOUTHERN TO CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND  
PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC. FREEZE WARNINGS AND FROST ADVISORIES  
ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THESE REGIONS. MORNING TEMPERATURES  
WILL ALSO LIKELY FALL TO BELOW FREEZING LEVELS BOTH TUESDAY AND  
WEDNESDAY MORNINGS FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS, INTO THE UPPER  
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND UPPER LAKES REGIONS.  
 
WHILE BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES GRIP MUCH OF THE CENTRAL TO  
EASTERN U.S. EARLY THIS WEEK, ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL BE  
EXPANDING ACROSS MUCH OF THE WESTERN U.S. THIS MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE  
TEMPERATURE PATTERN WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF  
THE WEEK WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN TEMPERATURES EACH DAY. THIS  
MAY LEAD TO SOME RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE POTENTIAL FOR PORTIONS OF  
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA, WESTERN OREGON AND WESTERN WASHINGTON STATE  
TOWARD THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.  
 
ORAVEC  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  

 
 
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