067
FXUS01 KWBC 122051
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
450 PM EDT MON JUN 12 2023
VALID 00Z TUE JUN 13 2023 - 00Z THU JUN 15 2023
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND EXCESSIVE RAINFALL LEADING TO FLASH
FLOODING POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN TIER...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ALONG PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST
COAST AND FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL
PLAINS TONIGHT...
...ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THE NORTHERN TIER; CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS AND SOUTHWEST...
A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT AND IMPACTS FROM TEXAS TO THE CAROLINAS OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS. THE WESTERN FLANK OF THE SURFACE BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE
TO DRIVE CONVECTION ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL/EASTERN COLORADO THIS
EVENING WITH SOME CHANCE FOR SOME ISOLATED INSTANCES OF FLASH
FLOODING AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL.
THE MOST FAVORABLE AREA FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL BE OVER PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL TEXAS, WHERE AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS
IN EFFECT. VERY LARGE/DAMAGING HAIL ARE POSSIBLE. DAMAGING WINDS
AND/OR LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
TO THE MID-ATLANTIC TONIGHT WHERE SLIGHT RISKS ARE CURRENTLY IN
EFFECT.
ATTENTION SHIFTS TO THE SOUTHEAST/LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY/ARKLATEX ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY, WHERE THUNDERSTORMS
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SEVERE WEATHER AND FLASH FLOODING ARE
POSSIBLE. SLIGHT RISKS OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL ARE IN EFFECT FROM EASTERN TEXAS TO THE SOUTHEAST COAST.
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF GENERATING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE BOUNDARY, WHILE REPEATED ROUNDS OF STORMS
OVER SATURATED SOILS COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS/ROCKIES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
AN AMPLIFYING TROUGH OVER THE NORTHWEST AND CONTINUED RIDGING OVER
THE CENTRAL CONUS/CANADA WILL SUPPORT ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES
ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER OF THE U.S. ON TUESDAY BEFORE A COLD
FRONT MODERATES TEMPERATURES IN THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST ON
WEDNESDAY. ABOVE AVERAGE TO RECORD BREAKING TEMPERATURES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN TEXAS ON TUESDAY.
THE WARM TEMPS CONTINUE AND AMPLIFY OVER TEXAS THROUGH THE REST OF
THE WORK WEEK. CLOUDY, CONVECTIVE WEATHER ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO BELOW AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. VERY DRY AND GUSTY
CONDITIONS OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN ARIZONA INTO WESTERN
TEXAS WILL SUPPORT A CRITICAL RISK OF FIRES THROUGH TUESDAY.
KEBEDE
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