775
FXUS01 KWBC 192044
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
443 PM EDT MON JUN 19 2023
VALID 00Z TUE JUN 20 2023 - 00Z THU JUN 22 2023
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE
SOUTHEAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND OVER THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY...
...THERE IS A SIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE
SOUTHEAST/CENTRAL GULF COAST AND NORTHERN PLAINS FROM MONDAY TO
TUESDAY...
...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNINGS AND HEAT ADVISORIES OVER THE CENTRAL
AND WESTERN GULF COAST...
UPPER-LEVEL ENERGY OVER THE OHIO/TENNESSEE VALLEYS WILL SLOWLY
DRIFT AROUND THE AREA AS A WEAK FRONT OVER MUCH OF THE
SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN PARTS OF THE COUNTRY, PLUS HIGH
MOISTURE VALUES, WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY
RAIN OVER PARTS OF NORTH/SOUTH CAROLINA, GEORGIA, ALABAMA, AND
FLORIDA. THEREFORE, THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING, THE WPC HAS ISSUED A
SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS AND MID-ATLANTIC. THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL
CREATE MAINLY LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS,
ROADS, AND SMALL STREAMS THE MOST VULNERABLE.
FURTHERMORE, A SECOND AREA OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL DEVELOP OVER
PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF COAST. THEREFORE, THE WPC HAS
ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE
CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF COAST THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED
HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE MAINLY LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING,
WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS, AND SMALL STREAMS THE MOST VULNERABLE.
MOREOVER, A FRONT OVER PARTS OF LOUISIANA, MISSISSIPPI, ALABAMA,
GEORGIA, AND FLORIDA WILL CREATE SHOWERS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
OVER THE AREA. THEREFORE, THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING, THE SPC HAS
ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, SOUTHEAST, AND CENTRAL GULF COAST. THE HAZARDS
ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND A FEW TORNADOES.
FURTHERMORE, UPPER-LEVEL ENERGY WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS AND SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL TEXAS. THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS
ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDS ASSOCIATED
WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND A FEW TORNADOES.
ADDITIONALLY, A SECOND FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS TO THE
SOUTHWEST MOVES SLOWLY EASTWARD, THEN STALLS OUT OVER THE REGION
BY WEDNESDAY. THE BOUNDARY WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS AND SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF NORTH DAKOTA AND MONTANA. THEREFORE,
THE SPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER
PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDS
ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND A FEW TORNADOES.
ON TUESDAY, THE THREAT OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL CONTINUES OVER PARTS
OF THE MID-ATLANTIC/SOUTHEAST. THEREFORE, THE WPC HAS ISSUED A
SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST,
SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC, AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS FROM TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE MAINLY
LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS, AND
SMALL STREAMS THE MOST VULNERABLE.
IN ADDITION, THE THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES OVER
PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND THE CENTRAL GULF COAST.
THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS FROM TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS
ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND
A FEW TORNADOES.
A SECOND AREA OVER THE GULF COAST WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS AND SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS. THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST FROM
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS, HAIL, AND A FEW TORNADOES.
BY WEDNESDAY, SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL
DEVELOP OVER WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA, NEBRASKA, COLORADO, AND FAR
NORTHWESTERN KANSAS. THEREFORE, THE WPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK
OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS. THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE MAINLY LOCALIZED
AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS, AND SMALL
STREAMS THE MOST VULNERABLE.
ALSO, ON WEDNESDAY, SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL
DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC, SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS, AND SOUTHEAST. THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE
MAINLY LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS,
AND SMALL STREAMS THE MOST VULNERABLE. ADDITIONALLY, THE THREAT OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS REDUCES TO A MARGINAL RISK OVER THE
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS.
FURTHERMORE, UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING, HIGH TEMPERATURES, AND
TEMPERATURES NOT COOLING OFF MUCH OVERNIGHT HAVE CONTRIBUTED TO
EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNINGS AND HEAT ADVISORIES OVER THE CENTRAL AND
WESTERN GULF COAST.
ELSEWHERE, A DEEP UPPER-LEVEL LOW WILL MOVE OVER THE NORTHWEST,
CREATING SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHWEST INTO
THE NORTHERN ROCKIES FROM MONDAY EVENING INTO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
ZIEGENFELDER
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page