653  
FXUS01 KWBC 122001  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
400 PM EDT TUE SEP 12 2023  
 
VALID 00Z WED SEP 13 2023 - 00Z FRI SEP 15 2023  
 
...COOL, WET WEATHER WITH HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING POSSIBLE  
FROM THE SOUTHWEST TO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...  
 
...MORE HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLOODING EXPECTED ACROSS THE  
NORTHEAST....  
 
...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS DEVELOPING ALONG THE  
EAST COAST...  
   
..FROST ADVISORIES IN EFFECT OVER PORTIONS OF THE UPPER MIDWEST
 
 
REMNANT MOISTURE FROM JOVA WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST AND  
SOUTHERN PLAINS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. SHORTWAVE ENERGY  
SWINGING THROUGH THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AND A SURFACE FRONT  
ORIENTED NORTH-SOUTH ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL INTERACT WITH  
THE TROPICAL MOISTURE TO PRODUCE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS THE REGION OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF  
DAYS. SOME INSTANCES OF FLASH FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN  
ARIZONA INTO MUCH OF CENTRAL NEW MEXICO TONIGHT, WHERE A SLIGHT  
RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS IN EFFECT. THE GREATEST THREAT OF  
FLASH FLOODING SHIFTS EAST INTO EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND  
WESTERN/CENTRAL TEXAS WHERE A STATIONARY FRONT WILL ACT AS A FOCUS  
FOR STRONG CONVECTION AND POTENTIALLY INTENSE RAINFALL RATES.  
ANOTHER SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL LEADING TO FLASH  
FLOODING IS IN EFFECT FOR THAT AREA ON WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUING  
INTO THURSDAY.  
 
A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL ACT AS A FOCUS FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE COUNTRY THROUGH  
THURSDAY.  
 
KEBEDE  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  

 
 
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