798
FXUS01 KWBC 141936
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
335 PM EDT THU SEP 14 2023
VALID 00Z FRI SEP 15 2023 - 00Z SUN SEP 17 2023
...LEE CONTINUES TRACKING NORTH, TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE FOR COASTAL NEW ENGLAND FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...
...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE FLOODING POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS BEGINNING LATE FRIDAY...
...HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG STORMS LIKELY TO CONTINUE INTO THE
WEEKEND OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...
HURRICANE LEE IS TRACKING WEST OF BERMUDA THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL
CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTH THROUGH SATURDAY. AS LEE APPROACHES
COASTAL NEW ENGLAND, CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE AND BECOME
HAZARDOUS BY FRIDAY NIGHT. DUE TO THE LARGE SIZE OF THE SYSTEM,
HAZARDS WILL EXTEND A WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER. HURRICANE
CONDITIONS AND COASTAL FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS OF
EASTERN MAINE, SOUTHERN NEW BRUNSWICK, AND WESTERN NOVA SCOTIA ON
SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON CAPE COD,
MARTHA'S VINEYARD, AND NANTUCKET BEGINNING FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL
BE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ACROSS NEW ENGLAND AND ATLANTIC CANADA.
HEAVY RAINFALL FROM LEE MAY PRODUCE LOCALIZED URBAN AND SMALL
STREAM FLOODING ACROSS EASTERN NEW ENGLAND AND PORTIONS OF NEW
BRUNSWICK AND NOVA SCOTIA FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.
LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS, INCLUDING CAPE COD AND
NANTUCKET, LATE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. SWELLS GENERATED BY LEE WILL
CONTINUE TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS
ALONG THE EAST COAST. LEE IS FORECAST TO CURVE TO THE NORTHEAST ON
SUNDAY AND TRACK AWAY FROM THE UNITED STATES.
ELSEWHERE, UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY. MULTIPLE
ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL RESULT IN LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL THAT COULD CAUSE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED INSTANCES OF FLASH
FLOODING. THE HIGHEST RISK OF FLOODING WILL BE IN CENTRAL TEXAS ON
FRIDAY WHERE THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL.
ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE OVER
THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS AND CENTRAL TEXAS FRIDAY AND FRIDAY
NIGHT, AND STRONG STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE
DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.
AS A COLD FRONT PROGRESSES EASTWARDS, SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST INTO THE GREAT LAKES
REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A SEPARATE FRONT WILL ALSO REMAIN
NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE NORTHERN GULF COAST AND FLORIDA,
PRODUCING DAILY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST.
DOLAN
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