006  
FXUS01 KWBC 251852  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
251 PM EDT MON SEP 25 2023  
 
VALID 00Z TUE SEP 26 2023 - 00Z THU SEP 28 2023  
 
...WET WEATHER EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST,  
UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE MID-WEST AND MUCH OF FLORIDA  
INTO SOUTHERN GEORGIA...  
 
...BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTHWEST AND  
FROM SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC...  
 
...AN END TO THE RECENT STRING OF RECORD HIGHS OVER THE SOUTHERN  
PLAINS, BUT ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES TO PERSIST THROUGH THE  
ROCKIES, SOUTHWEST, CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MIDDLE TO LOWER  
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...  
 
A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC IS  
EXPECTED TO KEEP THE WEATHER PATTERN COOL AND WET OVER THE NEXT  
FEW DAYS ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THE CURRENT AREA OF RAIN  
STRETCHING FROM NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA, NORTHWARD ACROSS WESTERN  
OREGON AND WESTERN WASHINGTON STATE WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A SECOND  
AREA OF PRECIPITATION MOVING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST ON TUESDAY  
NIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THESE PERIODS OF RAINFALL ARE  
MUCH NEEDED AS MUCH OR OREGON AND WASHINGTON STATE ARE  
EXPERIENCING SEVERE TO EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS. IN ADDITION TO  
THE RAINFALL, TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW AVERAGE WITH HIGHS 10 TO  
20 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FROM NORTHERN CALIFORNIA INTO MUCH OF  
OREGON, WASHINGTON AND NORTHERN IDAHO. BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES  
ALSO EXPECTED TO PERSIST FROM SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND, SOUTH INTO THE  
MID-ATLANTIC AS A NEARLY STATIONARY AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OFF THE  
MID-ATLANTIC COAST KEEPS THESE AREAS IN CLOUDS AND OCCASIONAL  
SHOWERS.  
 
A SEPARATE SLOW MOVING MID TO UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL ALSO KEEP WET  
CONDITIONS FROM PORTIONS OF THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE  
MID-WEST AS IT MOVES SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  
THE CLOUDS AND RAINFALL ACROSS THESE AREA WILL ALSO KEEP  
TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE.  
 
IN CONTRAST TO THE COOLER THAN AVERAGE TEMPERATURE REGIONS, ABOVE  
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE ROCKIES, SOUTHWEST,  
CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN PLAINS AND INTO THE MIDDLE TO LOWER  
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. WHILE TEMPERATURES WILL BE AS MUCH AS 10  
DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE ACROSS THESE REGIONS, NO RECORD HIGHS ARE  
EXPECTED, BRINGING AN END TO THE RECENT STRING OF RECORD HIGHS  
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.  
 
WET WEATHER ALSO LIKELY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS ACROSS NEARLY ALL  
OF FLORIDA INTO SOUTHERN GEORGIA AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW SITS ACROSS  
THE GULF OF MEXICO AND PUMPS ABOVE AVERAGE MOISTURE VALUES  
NORTHWARD. THESE HEAVY RAINS MAY PRODUCE ISOLATED AREAS OF FLASH  
FLOODING, ESPECIALLY IN URBANIZED REGIONS.  
 
ORAVEC  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  

 
 
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