378  
FXUS01 KWBC 300737  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
337 AM EDT SAT SEP 30 2023  
 
VALID 12Z SAT SEP 30 2023 - 12Z MON OCT 02 2023  
 
...MODERATE SNOW OVER PARTS OF THE SIERRA NEVADA MOUNTAINS ABOVE  
9000FT ON SATURDAY...  
 
...TEMPERATURES WILL BE 15 TO 20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL OVER PARTS  
OF THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND CENTRAL PLAINS...  
 
...TEMPERATURES WILL BE 10 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE OVER PARTS  
OF CALIFORNIA, THE GREAT BASIN, AND THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST ON  
SATURDAY...  
 
ON SATURDAY, LOW-PRESSURE SOUTHEAST OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND WILL  
SLOWLY MOVE EASTWARD OUT OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC BY SUNDAY. THE  
LOW WILL STREAM MOISTURE AIR OFF THE ATLANTIC, PRODUCING RAIN OVER  
PARTS OF THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND  
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.  
 
MEANWHILE, TROPICAL MOISTURE OVER FLORIDA, UPPER-LEVEL ENERGY, AND  
A WEAK FRONT WILL CREATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF  
FLORIDA THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. ADDITIONALLY, A WEAK FRONT OVER  
PARTS OF THE UPPER MIDWEST WILL SLOWLY DISSIPATE BY SATURDAY  
NIGHT. THE SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER  
PARTS OF THE UPPER MIDWEST THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.  
 
FURTHERMORE, UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING OVER THE MIDDLE/LOWER MISSISSIPPI  
VALLEY AND THE OHIO/TENNESSEE VALLEYS WILL AID IN ALLOWING  
TEMPERATURES TO BE 15 TO 20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL OVER PARTS OF THE  
MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND CENTRAL PLAINS ON SATURDAY.  
 
MOREOVER, A DEEP UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER CALIFORNIA AND THE  
PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL DEVELOP AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER THE GREAT  
BASIN BY SUNDAY AND BEGIN TO WEAKEN ON MONDAY. RAIN WILL DEVELOP  
OVER PARTS OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST INTO THE NORTHERN  
INTERMOUNTAIN REGION AND CALIFORNIA/THE GREAT BASIN ON SATURDAY.  
 
AS THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH DEEPENS, SNOW LEVELS WILL DROP OVER  
PARTS OF THE SIERRA NEVADA MOUNTAINS, PRODUCING MODERATE SNOW AT  
ELEVATIONS ABOVE 9000FT, WITH RAIN AT LOWER ELEVATIONS. THE  
PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. MOREOVER, THE  
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGHING WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO BE 10 TO 20  
DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE OVER PARTS OF CALIFORNIA, THE GREAT BASIN,  
AND THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY.  
 
AS THE DEEP TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER THE COUNTRY S WESTERN HALF,  
MOISTURE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE  
SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS. THE MOISTURE AND UPPER-LEVEL ENERGY WILL AID  
IN CREATING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN  
ROCKIES/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS ON SATURDAY AND BY SATURDAY NIGHT,  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN  
HIGH PLAINS INTO PARTS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. ADDITIONALLY,  
MOISTURE FLOWING OFF THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO WILL CREATE  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE WESTERN GULF COAST  
THROUGH MONDAY.  
 
ZIEGENFELDER  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  

 
 
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