693
FXUS01 KWBC 022003
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
400 PM EDT MON OCT 02 2023
VALID 00Z TUE OCT 03 2023 - 00Z THU OCT 05 2023
...A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS
FORECAST FOR PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS THROUGH THIS
EVENING...
...A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST FOR THE
NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS THIS EVENING, THEN EXTEND ACROSS THE CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN PLAINS LATER ON TUESDAY...
...FAIR AND WARM WEATHER OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE COUNTRY WILL
BE IN SHARP CONTRAST WITH COOL AND UNSETTLED WEATHER WITH
HIGH-ELEVATION SNOW OVER THE INTERIOR WESTERN U.S....
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, MUCH OF THE EASTERN HALF OF THE
COUNTRY WILL ENJOY FAIR AND WARM WEATHER UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A
LARGE DOME OF WARM HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM. AS THE CENTER OF THE
HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM GRADUALLY SLIDES OFF THE NORTHEASTERN U.S.,
NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES INTO THE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S OVER
THE NORTHERN PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON WILL SHIFT EAST INTO NEW
ENGLAND ON TUESDAY AND INTO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON UNDER INCREASINGLY
STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS.
MEANWHILE, MUCH COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH
HIGH-ELEVATION SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH THE INTERIOR
WESTERN U.S. BEFORE THE ASSOCIATED COLD UPPER TROUGH EXITS THE
ROCKIES AND MOVES INTO THE PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY. A RATHER POTENT
COLD FRONT WILL ADVANCE GRADUALLY ACROSS THE PLAINS STATES THROUGH
WEDNESDAY, TRIGGERING AREAS OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
AHEAD OF IT, ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL OF HEAVY DOWNPOURS LEADING
TO LOCAL FLOODING ISSUES. THE HIGHEST THREAT OF BOTH HEAVY RAIN
AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED OVER THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS
THROUGH THIS EVENING. BY LATER ON TUESDAY, THE FRONT IS FORECAST
TO PUSH EAST INTO THE GREAT PLAINS, WITH A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS
UNDER STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES
WELL UP INTO THE 80S OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS TO LOWER 90S IN
TEXAS. THE HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT
LIGHTNING, SQUALLS, HAIL, AND A FEW TORNADOES. AN AREA OF
ENHANCED RAIN FALL IS ALSO EXPECTED OVER THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS
ON THE BACK SIDE OF A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. BY
WEDNESDAY, THE THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD LESSEN AS THE
MAIN LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES AWAY INTO SOUTHERN CANADA, WITH
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO PUSH EASTWARD INTO THE MIDWEST
AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT.
KONG
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