954  
FXUS01 KWBC 140808  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
400 AM EDT SAT OCT 14 2023  
 
VALID 12Z SAT OCT 14 2023 - 12Z MON OCT 16 2023  
 
...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING UNSETTLED WEATHER FROM THE  
UPPER MIDWEST TO THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION TODAY...  
 
...WINDY BUT SLOWLY IMPROVING WEATHER EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE  
EASTERN U.S. ON SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS THE STRONG LOW PRESSURE  
SYSTEM MOVES OFF THE EAST COAST...  
 
...DRY ACROSS MUCH OF THE WESTERN HALF OF THE COUNTRY BUT RAINY  
ALONG COASTAL PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN CALIFORNIA...  
 
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER THE MIDWEST WILL BE  
THE MAIN WEATHER MAKER ACROSS THE COUNTRY OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS  
SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLIDE EASTWARD THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY TODAY  
BEFORE REACHING THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES THIS EVENING. BANDS OF  
MODERATE RAIN, WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND SOME EMBEDDED  
THUNDERSTORMS, CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE MIDWEST AND LOWER GREAT  
LAKES EARLY THIS MORNING BUT THEY WILL QUICKLY SPREAD EAST INTO  
THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION TODAY. BY SUNDAY, THE LOW IS FORECAST TO  
MOVE OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST AS IT MERGES WITH ANOTHER LOW  
PRESSURE WAVE MOVING UP THE COAST OF THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S., THE  
MERGER WILL RESULT IN A LARGER AND MORE POTENT SYSTEM TO RAPIDLY  
MOVE OFF THE EAST COAST SUNDAY MORNING. THE HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED  
WITH THE SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED TO IMPACT LAND DUE TO ITS RAPID  
MOTION BUT THE ASSOCIATED STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT MUCH  
OF THE EASTERN U.S. ON SUNDAY, WHICH WILL ONLY SUBSIDE SLOWLY BY  
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. CLOUDS AND SOME RAIN WILL LINGER  
FARTHER INLAND OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY WITH DRY  
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH.  
 
MEANWHILE, MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS MUCH OF THE  
WESTERN HALF OF THE COUNTRY FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE  
EXCEPTION WILL BE ALONG COASTAL PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN  
CALIFORNIA WHERE RAINY CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE AS A  
WEAKENING FRONT BECOMES NEARLY STATIONARY JUST OFFSHORE. CALM  
WIND AND CLEAR SKIES WILL RESULT IN BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES  
OVER THE CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS AS WELL AS NEARBY ROCKIES  
IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS, PROMPTING FREEZE  
WARNINGS/WATCHES TO BE ISSUED FOR THIS REGION.  
 
KONG  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  

 
 
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