485  
FXUS01 KWBC 180813  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
400 AM EDT WED OCT 18 2023  
 
VALID 12Z WED OCT 18 2023 - 12Z FRI OCT 20 2023  
 
...AN ALBERTA CLIPPER WILL SPREAD GUSTY WINDS FARTHER SOUTH INTO  
THE CENTRAL PLAINS TODAY AS RAIN MOVES ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS  
AND UPPER MIDWEST...  
 
...RAIN IS EXPECTED FOR THE GREAT LAKES ON THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY AS  
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP AND EXPAND ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH  
INTO THE SOUTHEAST...  
 
...A WARMING TREND IN THE WESTERN U.S. WILL LEAD TO HIGH  
TEMPERATURES CHALLENGING DAILY RECORDS BY THURSDAY...  
 
AN ALBERTA CLIPPER TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEAST INTO THE NORTHERN  
PLAINS THIS MORNING IS BRINGING SCATTERED AREAS OF RAIN ACROSS THE  
NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST. VERY GUSTY DRY WINDS  
BEHIND THE SYSTEM HAVE BEEN OVERSPREADING MUCH OF THE NORTHERN  
HIGH PLAINS EARLY THIS MORNING. THESE GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO  
SHIFT SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE NORTH-CENTRAL PLAINS TODAY BEFORE  
SUBSIDING TONIGHT. THE CENTER OF THE CLIPPER WILL CONTINUE ITS  
EASTWARD JOURNEY THROUGH THE UPPER GREAT LAKES, BRINGING RAINY  
WEATHER FOR MUCH OF THE GREAT LAKES THROUGH FRIDAY. MEANWHILE,  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP FARTHER SOUTH  
AHEAD OF THE TRAILING COLD FRONT OVER THE OHIO VALLEY AND DOWN  
INTO THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AS WELL AS THE INTERIOR DEEP SOUTH  
LATER ON THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. BY FRIDAY MORNING, A LOW PRESSURE  
SYSTEM MAY BEGIN TO FORM NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST WHERE THE  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL INCREASE.  
 
THE COOL WEATHER PATTERN ACROSS THE EASTERN U.S. WILL SLOWLY BREAK  
DOWN OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE SLIDES  
OFF THE EAST COAST. THE SOUTHEAST, AND ESPECIALLY FLORIDA, WILL  
HOLD ON TO THE COOL TEMPERATURES INTO FRIDAY BUT INCREASING  
SOUTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE INTERIOR EASTERN U.S. WILL HELP RAISE  
TEMPERATURES TO NEAR NORMAL LEVELS THERE BY THURSDAY. THE  
NORTHEAST WILL STILL BE STUCK IN PLENTY OF CLOUDS TODAY BEFORE THE  
COOL WEATHER PATTERN BREAKS DOWN ON THURSDAY. IN CONTRAST, THE  
WARM AND DRY WEATHER PATTERN OVER MUCH OF THE WESTERN U.S. IS  
FORECAST TO GET WARMER OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, WITH HIGH  
TEMPERATURES NEARING OR BREAKING DAILY RECORDS AT QUITE A NUMBER  
OF LOCATIONS FROM CALIFORNIA TO ARIZONA AND FARTHER NORTH ACROSS  
THE INTERIOR PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND IDAHO. MORE RECORD HIGHS COULD  
SPREAD EAST INTO COLORODA AND SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS ON FRIDAY.  
MEANWHILE, THE ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES COULD TOP THE CENTURY  
MARK FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. THE WARM  
WEATHER PATTERN IN THE WESTERN U.S. WILL ALSO HELP KEEPING THE  
HEAVY RAIN TO STAY JUST OFF TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF THE  
PACIFIC NORTHWEST ACROSS VANCOUVER ISLAND.  
 
KONG  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  

 
 
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