047  
FXUS01 KWBC 011856  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
255 PM EDT WED NOV 01 2023  
 
VALID 00Z THU NOV 02 2023 - 00Z SAT NOV 04 2023  
 
...COLD WEATHER PATTERN EAST OF THE ROCKIES TO MODERATE BY THE END  
OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND...  
 
...RECORD LOW MORNING TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE FROM THE LOWER  
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, SOUTHEAST, MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHERN NEW  
ENGLAND...  
 
...ATMOSPHERIC RIVER TO BRING HEAVY RAINS TO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST  
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY AND INTO NORTHERN CALIFORNIA LATE  
FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY...  
 
THE COLD FALL WEATHER PATTERN GRIPPING MUCH OF THE LOWER 48 TO THE  
EAST OF THE ROCKIES WILL BEGIN TO MODERATE BY THE END OF THE WEEK  
AND INTO THE WEEKEND. THE COLD AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE, CURRENTLY  
CENTERED FROM THE OHIO VALLEY INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY  
AND SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL BE PUSHING EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT FEW  
DAYS AND OFFSHORE OF EAST COAST ON FRIDAY. THE MUCH BELOW AVERAGE  
TEMPERATURES OF WEDNESDAY FOR ALL AREAS EAST OF THE ROCKIES WILL  
REMAIN BELOW AVERAGE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY, BUT TREND WARMER ON  
BOTH DAYS. THE COLDEST MORNING EXPECTED TO BE THURSDAY MORNING  
WHEN RECORD LOW TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE FROM THE LOWER  
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST, MID-ATLANTIC  
AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. FREEZE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT ACROSS  
ALL OF THESE AREAS, SAVE FOR NEW ENGLAND, SIGNALING THE END OF THE  
GROWING SEASON FOR THESE REGIONS. MOST AREAS TO THE EAST OF THE  
ROCKIES WILL HAVE BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES THURSDAY MORNING,  
EXCEPT FOR THE GULF COAST, FLORIDA AND THE SOUTHEAST COAST. IN  
CONTRAST TO THE BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES TO THE EAST OF THE  
ROCKIES, TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE AVERAGE OVER THE NEXT FEW  
DAYS FROM THE ROCKIES TO THE WEST COAST.  
 
WHILE MOST OF THE COUNTRY WILL BE DRY OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS,  
A WET WEATHER PATTERN IS BEGINNING FOR PORTIONS OF THE WEST COAST.  
THE INITIAL SURGE OF ABOVE AVERAGE MOISTURE VALUES FROM THE FIRST  
ATMOSPHERIC RIVER EVENT WILL BRING A HEAVY PRECIPITATION THREAT  
INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY.  
THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY ADDITIONAL HEAVY PRECIPITATION LATE  
FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY FOR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF CALIFORNIA.  
THIS WET WEATHER PATTERN SHOULD CONTINUE THEN INTO THE LATE  
WEEKEND AND NEXT WEEK WITH ADDITIONAL PERIODS OF HEAVY  
PRECIPITATION. THIS UPCOMING WET WEATHER PATTERN WILL BE WELCOME  
ACROSS THESE REGIONS AS MUCH OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST INTO  
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA HAS HAD BELOW AVERAGE PRECIPITATION OVER THE  
PAST MONTH AND IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE TO EXTREME DROUGHT  
CONDITIONS.  
 
ORAVEC  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  

 
 
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