878
FXUS01 KWBC 130704
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
203 AM EST MON NOV 13 2023
VALID 12Z MON NOV 13 2023 - 12Z WED NOV 15 2023
...COOL TEMPERATURES AND BENEFICIAL RAINS TO CROSS OVER THE
DROUGHT-STRICKEN GULF COAST STATES...
...SOME ACCUMULATING SNOW EXPECTED FOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF
THE WASHINGTON CASCADES AND NORTHERN ROCKIES OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS...
...MILD AIR EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AND
STRETCHING EAST ACROSS LARGE AREAS OF THE PLAINS AND MIDWEST...
A STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING OFFSHORE OF SOUTHERN TEXAS WILL MOVE
GRADUALLY EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS, AND THIS WILL BRING A SWATH OF MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN FOR PORTIONS OF THE DROUGHT-STRICKEN GULF COAST STATES. GIVEN
THE VERY DRY ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS, THESE RAINS WILL BE VERY
BENEFICIAL IN NATURE AND THERE MAY BE LOCALLY A FEW INCHES OF RAIN
THAT FALLS. ANY FLOODING CONCERNS SHOULD BE MINIMAL AND GENERALLY
CONFINED TO THE MORE URBANIZED LOCATIONS. THE CLOUDS AND RAIN WILL
ALSO KEEP TEMPERATURES RATHER COOL, AND MANY AREAS FROM SOUTHERN
TEXAS EASTWARD ACROSS THE GULF COAST WILL SEE TEMPERATURES BELOW
NORMAL.
MEANWHILE, A COLD FRONT CROSSING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL
ADVANCE EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES BY TUESDAY BEFORE
GRADUALLY STALLING OUT OVER PARTS OF THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. THE
FRONT ALONG WITH SOME INTRUSIONS OF PACIFIC MOISTURE WILL BRING A
THREAT FOR SHOWERS, INCLUDING SOME ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL FOR THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE WASHINGTON CASCADES AND THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES. THE HIGHER PEAKS MAY SEE LOCALLY IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES OF
NEW SNOW BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. SOME OF THIS MOISTURE WILL
ALSO BE INFLUENCED BY A DEVELOPING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OFFSHORE
OF CALIFORNIA WHICH WILL SLOWLY DROP SOUTHWARD AND MEANDER OFF THE
COAST GOING THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL BRING SOME
LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL INTO CALIFORNIA AND MAY EVEN BRING A
FEW INCHES OF SNOW TO THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS OF THE SIERRA NEVADA.
ELSEWHERE, ASIDE FROM A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING
PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND BRINGING SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL
HERE EARLY THIS WEEK, THE STORY FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE NATION
WILL BE THE VERY MILD AND DRY WEATHER. MUCH OF THE NATION IS
DOMINATED BY AN AIRMASS OF PACIFIC ORIGINS, WITH ALL OF THE COLD,
ARCTIC AIR CURRENTLY FOCUSED WELL TO THE NORTH OVER CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN CANADA. OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS, VERY MILD WEATHER WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS ESPECIALLY AREAS OF THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST, THE
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PLAINS, AND THE MIDWEST WHERE TEMPERATURES
WILL BE AS MUCH AS 15 TO 25 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
ORRISON
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