143  
FXUS01 KWBC 220803  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
300 AM EST WED NOV 22 2023  
 
VALID 12Z WED NOV 22 2023 - 12Z FRI NOV 24 2023  
 
...WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ALONG THE EAST COAST  
ARE EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF BY THIS EVENING...  
 
...ACCUMULATING SNOW TODAY ACROSS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND  
ESPECIALLY OVER NORTHERN MAINE...  
 
...A WHITE THANKSGIVING IS ON TAP FOR NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES  
AS ARCTIC AIR INTRUDES THE NORTHERN TIER OF THE COUNTRY ON  
THANKSGIVING DAY INTO FRIDAY...  
 
A LOW PRESSURE COMPLEX THAT HAD BROUGHT A ROUND OF SOAKING RAIN  
ACROSS MUCH OF THE EASTERN U.S. ON TUESDAY IS IN THE PROCESS OF  
MOVING OFF THE EAST COAST EARLY THIS MORNING. HOWEVER, THE  
CAROLINAS AND NEW ENGLAND WILL LIKELY SEE PRECIPITATION LINGERING  
LONGER TODAY AS RAIN TAPERS OFF IN OTHER AREAS ALONG THE EAST  
COAST. COLD AIR TRAPPED IN NEW ENGLAND WILL SUPPORT SNOW TODAY AS  
THE CENTER OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PASSES JUST TO THE SOUTH. UP  
TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW IS FORECAST FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN MAINE.  
BY THANKSGIVING MORNING, THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL LARGELY MOVE  
OFF THE EAST COAST, BRINGING CLEARING SKIES JUST IN TIME FOR  
THANKSGIVING FESTIVITIES. NEVERTHELESS, MUCH OF THE NORTHEAST  
WILL LIKELY CONTEND WITH BLUSTERY CONDITIONS AS THE STORM IS  
FORECAST TO DEEPEN QUITE RAPIDLY JUST OFF TO THE EAST. SOME SNOW  
SHOWERS ARE FORECAST TO RESUME OVER INTERIOR NEW ENGLAND BY  
THANKSGIVING EVENING AS AN ARCTIC FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.  
 
MEANWHILE, A SNOW EVENT IS BREWING OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES.  
RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH A FRONTAL SYSTEM CURRENTLY MOVING ONSHORE  
INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST IS FORECAST TO MERGE WITH A SURGE OF  
ARCTIC AIR DOWN THE CANADIAN HIGH PLAINS. THE RESULT OF THIS  
INTERACTION WILL BE A DEVELOPING AND EXPANDING AREA OF SNOW  
COMMENCING TODAY OVER IDAHO TO WESTERN MONTANA, THEN SPREADING  
SOUTHEASTWARD INTO MUCH OF WYOMING AND PORTIONS OF THE GREAT BASIN  
ON THANKSGIVING DAY. BY THANKSGIVING EVENING INTO FRIDAY MORNING,  
MUCH OF COLORADO AND UTAH AS WELL AS NEARBY CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS  
WILL LIKELY SEE SNOW PICKING UP IN INTENSITY, ALONG WITH  
INCREASINGLY STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS FROM THE NORTH. PORTIONS OF  
WYOMING COULD SEE A FOOT OF SNOW ON THE GROUND BY FRIDAY EVENING.  
 
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE ACROSS THE  
NORTHERN U.S. INTO WEDNESDAY, FOLLOWED BY MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES  
AND THE ABOVE MENTIONED SNOW THREAT FOR THANKSGIVING DAY. THIS  
COLDER THAN AVERAGE AIR WILL CONTINUE TO SINK SOUTHWARD AT THE END  
OF THE WEEK INTO THIS WEEKEND ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND INTO  
THE CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN PLAINS. COOLER THAN AVERAGE TEMPERATURES  
ALSO LIKELY ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST QUARTER OF THE NATION ON  
THANKSGIVING, WITH THESE COOLER THAN AVERAGE TEMPERATURES THEN  
TAKING HOLD ACROSS MUCH OF THE NATION BY THIS WEEKEND, SAVE FOR  
THE IMMEDIATE WEST COAST AND SOUTH FLORIDA.  
 
HAVE A SAFE AND HAPPY THANKSGIVING!  
 
KONG/ORAVEC  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  

 
 
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