650  
FXUS01 KWBC 251916  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
215 PM EST SAT NOV 25 2023  
 
VALID 00Z SUN NOV 26 2023 - 00Z TUE NOV 28 2023  
 
...WINTER WEATHER POSSIBLE FOR THE RETURN FROM THE THANKSGIVING  
HOLIDAY FROM PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TO CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE  
MID TO UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND WESTERN LAKES REGION..  
 
...RAIN POSSIBLE ALONG THE GULF COAST AND THE NORTHERN  
MID-ATLANTIC TO NEW ENGLAND COASTS...  
 
...BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES TO SPREAD EASTWARD FROM THE PLAINS  
INTO THE MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO VALLEY REGION FOR THE START OF THE  
WORK WEEK...  
 
...TRANQUIL WEATHER ON TAP FROM THE HIGH PLAINS, WEST TO THE WEST  
COAST...  
 
THE LAST PART OF THE RETURN TRIP FROM THE THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY  
WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR ACCUMULATING SNOWS AND TRAVEL  
DISRUPTIONS FROM PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN PLAINS,  
NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE MID TO UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND WESTERN  
GREAT LAKES. THIS IS IN RESPONSE TO AN UPPER LEVEL LOW, THAT HAS  
ALREADY PRODUCED WIDESPREAD HEAVY SNOWS ACROSS THE NORTHERN TO  
CENTRAL ROCKIES, PUSHING NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS  
INTO THE GREAT LAKES AND A MORE NORTHERN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE  
MOVING ALONG THE SOUTH CENTRAL CANADA/NORTH CENTRAL U.S. BORDER  
AREA INTO THE GREAT LAKES. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE  
LIGHTER THAN WHAT FELL THROUGH THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES,  
WITH ACCUMULATIONS GENERALLY IN THE 2 TO 4 INCH RANGE. TRAVEL  
DISRUPTIONS ALSO POSSIBLE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE GULF COAST FROM  
TEXAS TO FLORIDA AS RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THIS  
REGION ON SUNDAY. STORMY WEATHER ALSO POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY INTO  
EARLY MONDAY FROM THE NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC COAST, NORTHEASTWARD  
ALONG THE NEW ENGLAND COAST AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS  
ACROSS THIS AREA. THIS MAY PRODUCE SOME MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY  
PRECIPITATION TOTALS, BUT TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE WARM  
ENOUGH TO KEEP THE PRECIPITATION AS RAIN.  
 
IN THE WAKE OF THE SYSTEM PUSHING NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE PLAINS  
INTO THE GREAT LAKES, BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL BE SPREADING  
EASTWARD SUNDAY INTO MONDAY FROM THE PLAINS INTO THE MISSISSIPPI  
AND OHIO VALLEY REGIONS. THIS COLD AIR WILL THEN PUSH INTO THE  
EASTERN U.S. BY TUESDAY. AS THE COLD AIR PUSHES ACROSS THE GREAT  
LAKES LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY, LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL  
DEVELOP FROM WEST TO EAST IN THE LEE OF THE GREAT LAKES. THIS  
WILL SUPPORT LOCALLY HEAVY SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ACROSS THE FAVORED  
LAKE EFFECT SNOW REGIONS OF THE UPPER PENINSULA OF MICHIGAN, THE  
WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE LOWER PENINSULA OF MICHIGAN AND FROM FAR  
NORTHEAST OHIO, FAR NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA INTO FAR WESTERN NEW  
YORK STATE AND NORTHERN NEW YORK STATE.  
 
MEANWHILE, MOSTLY TRANQUIL WEATHER EXPECTED FROM THE HIGH PLAINS,  
WESTWARD THROUGH THE ROCKIES AND TO THE WEST COAST AS HIGH  
PRESSURE WILL REMAIN CENTERED ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND  
PROVIDE FOR DRY WEATHER. THE CLEAR SKIES AND DRY WEATHER WILL  
BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING TEMPERATURES OVER THE NEXT FEW  
MORNINGS THROUGH THE INTERIOR VALLEYS OF CALIFORNIA WHERE FREEZE  
WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR SUNDAY MORNING.  
 
ORAVEC  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  

 
 
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