958  
FXUS01 KWBC 250742  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
341 AM EDT MON MAR 25 2024  
 
VALID 12Z MON MAR 25 2024 - 12Z WED MAR 27 2024  
   
..MAJOR WINTER STORM CONTINUES TODAY
 
 
...EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AND SEVERE WEATHER IMPACTS ACROSS  
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND CENTRAL GULF COAST...  
 
...CRITICAL RISK OF FIRE WEATHER OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS; FRIGID  
TEMPERATURES EXPAND ACROSS GREAT PLAINS...  
 
A POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS  
INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST THROUGH TUESDAY. PERIODS OF SNOW AND GUSTY  
WINDS WILL CONTINUE FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS TO NORTHERN MINNESOTA,  
ALONG WITH SOME SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN IN PARTS OF THE UPPER  
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. SNOW ACCUMULATING AT RATES OF 1-2"/HR IN  
HEAVIER BANDS ARE EXPECTED FROM CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND EASTERN SOUTH  
DAKOTA TO NORTHERN MINNESOTA. ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL TOTALS BETWEEN  
6-12 INCHES ARE FORECAST FROM CENTRAL NEBRASKA TO NORTHEASTERN  
MINNESOTA. HEAVY SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS APPROACHING 50 MPH WILL  
PRODUCE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WITH NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY INTO EARLY  
TUESDAY. TRAVEL COULD BE NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE. POWER OUTAGES AND TREE  
DAMAGE ARE LIKELY IN SOME AREAS DUE TO THE HEAVY AND WET SNOW  
COMBINED WITH ICING AND STRONG WINDS. WINTER STORM/BLIZZARD  
WARNINGS AND WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FROM PORTIONS  
OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS TO THE UPPER MIDWEST.  
 
IN THE WARM SECTOR OF THE WINTER STORM, SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND  
CENTRAL GULF COAST AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT TODAY. THERE'S AN  
ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS (LEVEL 2/5) TO OCCUR ACROSS  
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS INTO NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND  
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE  
THROUGH TONIGHT FROM PARTS OF EAST TEXAS THROUGH THE LOWER  
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, ACCORDING TO THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER.  
THERE'S ALSO A SLIGHT RISK (AT LEAST 15%) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL  
LEADING TO FLASH FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MISSOURI DOWN  
THROUGH ARKANSAS, MISSISSIPPI AND WEST-CENTRAL ALABAMA. WHILE THE  
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WANES ON TUESDAY, THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL  
THREAT SIMPLY SHIFTS INTO THE SOUTHEAST. A SLIGHT RISK OF  
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS IN EFFECT OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ALABAMA,  
SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE ON TUESDAY, DUE, IN  
PART, TO A STALLED OUT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ALONG THE GULF COAST.  
 
STRONG WESTERLY FLOW ALONG THE BASE OF AN UPPER TROUGH WILL  
SUPPORT VERY DRY AND GUSTY WINDS IN EXCESS OF 25 MPH OVER PORTIONS  
OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TODAY. THUS THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER  
ISSUED A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA (LEVEL 2/3) FOR FAR SOUTHERN  
TEXAS. A FRIGID AIRMASS WILL SPILL OUT OVER THE GREAT PLAINS  
TODAY, WHERE HIGH TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES WILL BE 15-30 DEGREES  
BELOW AVERAGE. A MODERATING TEMPERATURE TREND BEGINS ON TUESDAY.  
UNSETTLED WEATHER RETURNS TO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST BY WEDNESDAY  
THANKS TO A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM.  
 
KEBEDE  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 

 
 
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