361
FXHW01 KWNH 091131
PMDHI
HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
729 AM EDT SAT AUG 09 2008
VALID 00Z SUN AUG 10 2008 - 00Z SUN AUG 17 2008
MODELS AND ENSEMBLES STILL REASONABLY SHOW THE PRESENT MODERATE
OCCASIONALLY BRISK TRADES GRADUALLY DROPPING OFF TO MODERATE BY
MON...AND LIGHT TO MODERATE THE LATTER HALF OF NEXT WEEK. THESE
CHANGES WILL BE RELATED TO UPPER TROFFING DEVELOPING E OF THE
ISLANDS MON/TUE THAT GRADUALLY SHIFTS WWD TO OVER THE ISLANDS
THU-SAT. THE HEIGHT FALLS MAY RAISE THE TRADE INVERSION AND
INCREASE THE GENERALLY LIGHT WINDWARD SHOWERS TO OCCASIONALLY
MODERATE INTENSITY.
MOISTURE FROM A POSSIBLE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NOW ESTIMATED ON
SATELLITE NEAR 11N/140W IS SHOWN APPROACHING THE ISLANDS EARLY
NEXT WEEKEND ACCORDING TO THE 00Z/09 GFS. FOR NOW PREFER WEAKER
MODEL SOLUTIONS ON THE FATE OF THIS FEATURE UNTIL/UNLESS BETTER
MODEL CONSENSUS OCCURS.
FLOOD
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