184
FXUS10 KWNH 201501
PMDHMD
MODEL DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
1100 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2008
VALID AUG 20/1200 UTC THRU AUG 24/0000 UTC
MODEL INITIALIZATION...
..SEE NOUS42 KWNO ADMNFD FOR STATUS OF UPPER AIR INGEST
ANY INITIALIZATION ERRORS WITH THE NAM DO NOT APPEAR TO
SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACT ITS FORECAST.
MODEL TRENDS...
..TROPICAL STORM FAY
THE NAM HAS SHIFTED NORTHWARD WITH THE TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM ACROSS
NORTHERN FLORIDA AND THE NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO...ALLOWING LESS
REINTENSIFICATION OVER THE GULF.
..WEAK UPPER TROUGH OVER THE PLAINS
THE NAM SPINS UP AN ADDITIONAL SHORTWAVE IN THIS BROAD CIRCULATION
OVER NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI DAY 1. ON DAY 2...THE MODEL HAS TRENDED
CONSIDERABLY MORE SUPPRESSED WITH THE STREAM OF ENERGY CROSSING
THE RIO GRANDE.
..STRONG TROUGH CROSSING THE NORTHWEST
THE NAM HAS TRENDED SLIGHTLY FASTER AND LESS AMPLIFIED WITH THIS
SYSTEM.
...MODEL TREND GRAPHICS AT
WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/HTML/MODEL2.SHTML...
CISCO
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