631  
WWUS20 KWNS 292228  
SEL4  
SPC WW 292228  
ARZ000-300500-  
 
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED  
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 784  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
525 PM CDT THU OCT 29 2009  
 
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A  
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF  
 
NORTHERN ARKANSAS  
 
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON FROM 525 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.  
 
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND  
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE  
AREAS.  
 
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE  
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES SOUTHEAST OF  
RUSSELLVILLE ARKANSAS TO 20 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF FLIPPIN  
ARKANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE  
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).  
 
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR  
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH  
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR  
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS  
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.  
 
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 781...WW 782...WW 783...  
 
DISCUSSION...STRONG STORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE RAPIDLY  
NNEWD ALONG AND AHEAD OF COLD FRONT SHIFTING SLOWLY EWD ACROSS ERN  
OK. SURFACE DEW POINTS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SHIFT NWD AS A  
WARM FRONT LIFTS INTO NRN AR THIS EVENING...INCREASING THE POTENTIAL  
FOR SURFACE-BASED STORMS TO SPREAD INTO NRN AR. VERTICAL WIND  
PROFILES CONTINUE TO EXHIBIT VERY STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR WITH 0-1 KM  
SRH VALUES AOA 300-400 M2/S2...WITH POTENTIAL FOR TORNADIC  
SUPERCELLS TO DEVELOP THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.  
 
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL  
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE  
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO  
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 20045.  
 
...WEISS  
 
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