454  
ACUS01 KWNS 071552  
SWODY1  
SPC AC 071551  
 
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0951 AM CST TUE NOV 07 2017  
 
VALID 071630Z - 081200Z  
   
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
 
 
   
..SUMMARY
 
 
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM THE COASTAL CAROLINAS/DELMARVA TO  
LOUISIANA TODAY.  
   
..SOUTHEAST STATES
 
 
A BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS SAGGING SLOWLY SOUTHWARD INTO  
PARTS OF AL/GA/SC. ISOLATED CELLS ALONG THIS BAND HAVE PRODUCED  
LOCALLY GUSTY/DAMAGING WINDS IN THE PAST COUPLE HOURS. THE  
ENVIRONMENT DOWNSTREAM OF THIS ACTIVITY REMAINS SIMILARLY FAVORABLE  
FOR GUSTY WINDS. HOWEVER, TRENDS IN RADAR/LIGHTNING/SATELLITE DATA  
AND 12Z CAM GUIDANCE PROVIDES LITTLE CONFIDENCE THAT CONVECTIVE  
INTENSITY WILL RISE TO SEVERE LEVELS THIS AFTERNOON. WIND GUSTS ARE  
EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 50 KNOTS, AND THEREFORE WILL MAINTAIN THE  
ONGOING FORECAST OF LESS THAN 5% SEVERE PROBABILITIES.  
 
..HART/KERR.. 11/07/2017  
 

 
 
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