050  
FXUS61 KPBZ 080647  
AFDPBZ  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA  
147 AM EST SUN NOV 8 2009  
   
SYNOPSIS  
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS THROUGH EARLY IN  
THE WEEK. A COLD FRONT WILL BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS TUESDAY...FOLLOWED  
BY DRY AND COOLER CONDITIONS FOR THE LAST HALF OF THE WEEK.  
 
 
   
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/  
 
MID LEVEL CLOUDS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG THE RIDGES...AS SOME MID  
LEVEL MOISTURE IS TRAPPED UNDER AN INVERSION. THERE SEEMS TO BE  
SOME LIMITED BUILDING OF THESE CLOUDS TO THE SOUTH AND WEST...WITH  
SOME CLOUDS AS FAR WEST AS GREENE/MARION COUNTIES DURING THE  
NEXT FEW HOURS. ANY CLOUDS WILL DIMINISH THIS MORNING AS THE  
INVERSION DISSIPATES. HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL INTENSIFY ACROSS  
THE REGION TODAY/TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO UNSEASONABLY  
WARM LEVELS...WITH HIGHS TODAY RANGING FROM THE LOWER/MID 60S  
ALONG THE I-80 CORRIDOR...TO THE LOWER 70S FROM I-70 SOUTHWARD.  
EXPECT MILD MID/UPPER 40S FOR LOWS TNGT.  
 
 
   
SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/  
 
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE MONDAY...WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
70S FOR MOST LOCATIONS. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE LATE MONDAY AFTN/NIGHT  
IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT. BOTH GFS/NAM DEPICT THE GREATEST LIFT  
AND MOISTURE TO THE NORTH WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY...AND WELL TO  
THE SOUTH WITH THE REMNANTS OF IDA. WILL USE CHANCE POPS FOR MOST  
AREAS LATE TUESDAY AFTN/NIGHT WITH THE FRONT...WITH GENERALLY RAINFALL  
AMOUNTS OF ONE TENTH INCH OR SO. WITH THE SLIGHTLY SLOWER MOVEMENT  
OF THE FRONT...WILL BUMP UP HIGHS ON TUESDAY...WITH 60-65 DEGREES  
FOR MOST LOCATIONS.  
 
 
   
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/  
 
THE FRONT IS PROGGED TO PUSH TO THE COAST WEDNESDAY...WITH ANY  
RESIDUAL SHWRS ENDING EARLY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FOR  
LATE WEEK FOR DRY CONDITIONS. AFTER A COOL DAY WEDNESDAY IN THE  
WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT...TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE TO NEAR NORMAL  
FOR THURSDAY/FRIDAY. THE NEXT SYSTEM IS PROGGED TO BRING SHWRS  
TO THE REGION FOR SATURDAY.  
 
 
   
AVIATION /07Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/  
 
MOISTURE ALONG THE RIDGES WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE FOR VFR CLOUDINESS  
OVERNIGHT. A LOW LEVEL INVERSION WILL LEAD TO A PERIOD OF MVFR CLOUDS  
OVERNIGHT...FKL-DUJ. A FEW LOCATIONS COULD ALSO SEE MVFR VIS IN  
FOG THIS MORNING...ESPECIALLY ZZV/FKL. OTHERWISE...HIGH PRESSURE  
WILL LEAD TO PREDOMINANTLY VFR CONDITIONS SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY  
NIGHT. A WEAK FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL CROSS THE REGION LATE TUESDAY  
INTO TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH THE NEXT CHANCE FOR REDUCED CONDITIONS.  
HIGH PRESSURE AND VFR CONDITIONS WILL THEN BUILD IN FOR WEDNESDAY  
AND THURSDAY.  
 
 
   
PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
MD...NONE.  
OH...NONE.  
PA...NONE.  
WV...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
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