592  
FXUS61 KPBZ 212151  
AFDPBZ  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA  
551 PM EDT SAT OCT 21 2017  
   
SYNOPSIS
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN DRY AND WARM WEATHER THROUGH  
SUNDAY. RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED WITH A MONDAY COLD FRONT.  
 

 
   
NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/
 
 
DRY AND WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY ALTHOUGH  
SOUTHWESTLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO FUNNEL HIGH CLOUDINESS  
OVER THE AREA. SUNDAY HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE ABOUT  
15 DEGREES ABOVE THE AVERAGE.  
 

 
   
SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
 
 
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT IS THE FAVORED PERIOD FOR RAIN DURING  
THE FORECAST. MODELS ARE INDICATING THAT PRECIPITATION MAY COME  
INTO THE AREA A LITTLE BIT MORE QUICKLY ON MONDAY, BUT STILL  
STAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT  
INDICATING AT LEAST AN INCH OF RAIN WILL OCCUR. WHILE SHOWERS  
WILL LINGER INTO TUESDAY, RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE MUCH LESS.  
ONE LAST WARM DAY IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY, WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES  
DROPPING TO NEAR NORMAL VALUES ON TUESDAY.  
 

 
   
LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/
 
 
A LULL IN PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT, BUT ANOTHER  
WAVE SHOULD BRING SOME ADDITIONAL SHOWERS WEDNESDAY. COOLER FLOW  
OFF LAKE ERIE COULD ALLOW FOR SOME ENHANCEMENT. THE WEATHER  
SHOULD THEN DRY OUT FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY BEFORE ANOTHER LOW  
PRESSURE SYSTEM DRAGS A FRONT ACROSS THE REGION OVER THE WEEKEND.  
WEDNESDAY WILL BE THE COLDEST DAY OF THE WEEK, WITH MOST  
LOCATIONS STRUGGLING TO REACH 50 DEGREES. TEMPERATURES WILL THEN  
MODERATE FOR THE END OF THE WEEK, AND HIGHS SHOULD HEAD BACK  
TOWARDS 60 DEGREES.  
 

 
   
AVIATION /22Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD MAINTAIN VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE TAF  
PERIOD.  
   
OUTLOOK
 
 
RESTRICTIONS ARE LIKELY WITH A LATE MONDAY COLD FRONT. PERIODIC  
RESTRICTIONS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH WED WITH AN UPPER TROUGH.  
 

 
   
PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
MD...NONE.  
OH...NONE.  
PA...NONE.  
WV...NONE.  
 

 
 

 
 
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