986  
FNUS54 KTSA 012052  
FWFTSA  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK  
352 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014  
 
RED FLAG...NONE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON WILL COME TO AN END THIS  
EVENING AND TONIGHT ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST  
ARKANSAS. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRE THIS AFTERNOON NEAR THE  
KANSAS BORDER AND CONGEAL INTO CLUSTERS THAT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST  
INTO THE REGION TONIGHT. AREAS SOUTH OF I-40 WILL LIKELY STAY DRY  
FOR THE MOST PART. RAIN CHANCES CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY...AND  
GRADUALLY TAPER OFF FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST TUESDAY NIGHT. HOT  
AND DRY WEATHER RETURNS FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...BEFORE A  
FRONTAL BOUNDARY BRINGS ANOTHER CHANCE FOR RAIN FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.  
 
OKZ049-053-021015-  
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...HUGO  
352 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR  
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 74 94 73 94  
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 92 46 94 42  
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) S 6 S 5  
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) S 6 S 6 S 5 S 7  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE NONE  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 20 0 0  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00  
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 0 4700 0 5200  
MIXING HGT(FT MSL) N/A 5300 N/A 5800  
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) S 13 S 12 S 8 S 17  
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) N/A 83 N/A 83  
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 0 7000 0 12800  
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 1 3 1 4  
HAINES INDEX 3 2 2 2  
STABILITY F C F C  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
90S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
90S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.  
NORTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 3.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 1.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 3.  
 

 
 
OKZ070-071-073>075-021015-  
MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-LATIMER-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...MCALESTER...  
STIGLER...WILBURTON  
352 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 74 93 73 93  
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 92 48 96 44  
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) S 7 S 7  
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) S 6 S 7 S 5 S 9  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS NONE  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30 30 0 0  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.07 0.10 0.00 0.00  
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 0 4200 0 5200  
MIXING HGT(FT MSL) N/A 4800 N/A 5800  
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) S 14 SW 15 S 9 S 20  
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) N/A 83 N/A 82  
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 0 9100 0 14400  
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 1 4 1 4  
HAINES INDEX 3 2 2 2  
STABILITY F C F C  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
90S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.  
NORTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.  
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 2.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 3.  
 

 
 
ARZ001-002-010-011-021015-  
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...  
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE  
352 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 70 88 70 91  
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 97 62 99 47  
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) SW 7 S 6  
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) S 5 S 5 LGT/VAR S 8  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 60 50 30 30  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.55 0.17 0.08 0.02  
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 0 3300 0 4900  
MIXING HGT(FT MSL) N/A 3900 N/A 5500  
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) S 10 SW 15 S 7 SW 17  
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) N/A 84 N/A 82  
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 0 7000 0 12000  
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 1 3 1 4  
HAINES INDEX 2 2 2 2  
STABILITY F C F C  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. NORTH  
WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 3.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 3.  
 

 
 
ARZ020-021015-  
FRANKLIN-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OZARK...CHARLESTON  
352 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 71 92 71 94  
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 94 54 98 46  
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) S 5 LGT/VAR  
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) LGT/VAR S 5 LGT/VAR S 5  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS NONE  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30 40 20 0  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.12 0.15 0.05 0.00  
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 0 3600 0 4700  
MIXING HGT(FT MSL) N/A 4200 N/A 5300  
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) SE 8 SW 15 SE 2 S 14  
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) N/A 83 N/A 83  
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 0 7700 0 8400  
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 1 3 1 4  
HAINES INDEX 2 2 2 2  
STABILITY F C F C  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.  
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.  
NORTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 3.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.  
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 2.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 3.  
 

 
 
OKZ058-063-068-069-072-021015-  
OTTAWA-DELAWARE-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-SEQUOYAH-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIAMI...JAY...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...  
SALLISAW  
352 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 70 91 71 94  
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 96 57 98 46  
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) S 7 S 7  
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) S 6 S 6 SE 5 S 9  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 60 40 30 20  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.76 0.15 0.06 0.01  
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 0 3400 0 5000  
MIXING HGT(FT MSL) N/A 4000 N/A 5600  
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) S 12 SW 16 S 8 SW 21  
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) N/A 85 N/A 82  
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 0 7000 0 13500  
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 1 3 1 4  
HAINES INDEX 2 2 2 3  
STABILITY F C F C  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. NORTH  
WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 3.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 3.  
 

 
 
OKZ054>057-059>062-064>067-021015-  
OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-PAWNEE-TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-CREEK-  
OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...  
VINITA...PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...  
OKMULGEE...WAGONER  
352 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 69 93 72 94  
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 99 52 97 42  
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) S 7 S 8  
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) S 7 S 8 S 6 S 11  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS NONE  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 60 40 20 0  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.97 0.22 0.05 0.00  
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 0 3800 0 5400  
MIXING HGT(FT MSL) N/A 4400 N/A 6000  
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) S 14 S 21 S 10 S 25  
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) N/A 85 N/A 82  
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 0 10800 0 17600  
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 1 4 1 5  
HAINES INDEX 2 2 3 3  
STABILITY F C F D  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
90S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 5.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 5.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 3.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 3.  
 

 
 
ARZ019-029-OKZ076-021015-  
CRAWFORD-SEBASTIAN-LE FLORE-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VAN BUREN...FORT SMITH...POTEAU  
352 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 72 93 72 94  
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 94 49 98 44  
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) S 6 LGT/VAR  
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) S 5 S 6 LGT/VAR S 6  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS NONE  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30 30 10 0  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.05 0.10 0.01 0.00  
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 0 4100 0 5000  
MIXING HGT(FT MSL) N/A 4700 N/A 5600  
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) S 9 SW 15 S 5 S 15  
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) N/A 83 N/A 83  
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 0 8400 0 10500  
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 1 4 1 4  
HAINES INDEX 3 2 2 2  
STABILITY F C F C  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.  
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS AROUND 90. NORTH  
WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 3.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.  
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 2.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 3.  
 

 
 
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