587  
FNUS54 KTSA 302055  
FWFTSA  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK  
355 PM CDT MON MAR 30 2015  
 
RED FLAG...NONE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
AN UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVING FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL BRING  
UNSETTLED WEATHER...IN THE FORM OF A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS...  
TO OUR REGION TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT  
THURSDAY WILL MOVE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...PROVIDING THE  
OPPORTUNITY FOR MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BOTH THURSDAY  
AND THURSDAY NIGHT.  
 
OKZ049-053-311015-  
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANTLERS...CLAYTON...HUGO  
355 PM CDT MON MAR 30 2015  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 55 76 56 76  
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 100 62 100 57  
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) LGT/VAR S 6  
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) LGT/VAR S 6 LGT/VAR S 9  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 40 30 30  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.02 0.05 0.26 0.15  
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 0 2300 0 2800  
MIXING HGT(FT MSL) N/A 2900 N/A 3400  
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) S 14 S 14 S 13 S 29  
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) N/A 71 N/A 70  
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 0 4200 0 11700  
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 1 3 1 4  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 3  
STABILITY F C F C  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 5.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 5.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4.  
 

 
 
OKZ070-071-073>075-311015-  
MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-LATIMER-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKOGEE...EUFAULA...MCALESTER...  
STIGLER...WILBURTON  
355 PM CDT MON MAR 30 2015  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 55 76 57 78  
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 99 52 99 50  
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) LGT/VAR S 7  
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) LGT/VAR S 5 LGT/VAR S 11  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 30 30 40  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.01 0.03 0.26 0.14  
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 0 3200 0 3500  
MIXING HGT(FT MSL) N/A 3800 N/A 4100  
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) S 13 S 12 SE 13 S 33  
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) N/A 71 N/A 72  
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 0 5000 0 16500  
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 1 3 1 4  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 3  
STABILITY F C F D  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 5.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.  
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 5.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH  
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 5.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4.  
 

 
 
ARZ001-002-010-011-311015-  
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS...BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...  
EUREKA SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...SPRINGDALE...HUNTSVILLE  
355 PM CDT MON MAR 30 2015  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY  
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 51 75 52 75  
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 100 47 100 52  
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 5  
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 11  
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 20 10 40  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.02 0.05 0.07  
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 0 4000 0 3200  
MIXING HGT(FT MSL) N/A 4600 N/A 3800  
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) S 10 W 6 S 2 S 28  
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) N/A 69 N/A 71  
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 0 3600 0 12000  
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 1 2 1 4  
HAINES INDEX 3 2 3 3  
STABILITY F C F D  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4.  
 

 
 
ARZ020-311015-  
FRANKLIN-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OZARK...CHARLESTON  
355 PM CDT MON MAR 30 2015  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY  
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 51 81 54 77  
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 100 48 100 52  
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 8  
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 30 20 50  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.03 0.15 0.11  
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 0 3700 0 3300  
MIXING HGT(FT MSL) N/A 4300 N/A 3900  
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) SE 9 SW 6 S 3 S 23  
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) N/A 70 N/A 72  
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 0 3300 0 10000  
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 1 2 1 4  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 3  
STABILITY F C F C  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 3.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.  
EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 5.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 5.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4.  
 

 
 
OKZ058-063-068-069-072-311015-  
OTTAWA-DELAWARE-CHEROKEE-ADAIR-SEQUOYAH-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIAMI...JAY...TAHLEQUAH...STILWELL...  
SALLISAW  
355 PM CDT MON MAR 30 2015  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY  
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 51 76 54 76  
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 100 53 100 50  
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 7  
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 12  
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 20 20 40  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.01 0.11 0.09  
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 0 3600 0 3400  
MIXING HGT(FT MSL) N/A 4200 N/A 4000  
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) S 12 S 6 SE 7 S 32  
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) N/A 70 N/A 72  
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 0 3300 0 14000  
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 1 2 1 4  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 3  
STABILITY F C F D  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 5.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 5.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4.  
 

 
 
OKZ054>057-059>062-064>067-311015-  
OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-PAWNEE-TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-CREEK-  
OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAWHUSKA...BARTLESVILLE...NOWATA...  
VINITA...PAWNEE...TULSA...CLAREMORE...PRYOR...BRISTOW...OKEMAH...  
OKMULGEE...WAGONER  
355 PM CDT MON MAR 30 2015  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 50 80 55 80  
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 99 43 100 45  
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) LGT/VAR S 8  
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 15  
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 10 20 30  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.01 0.11 0.05  
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 0 3900 0 4000  
MIXING HGT(FT MSL) N/A 4500 N/A 4600  
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) S 15 SE 10 SE 14 S 39  
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) N/A 72 N/A 73  
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 0 6000 0 21600  
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 1 3 1 5  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 3  
STABILITY F C F D  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 5.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 15 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH  
WINDS UP TO 15 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH  
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 5.  
 

 
 
ARZ019-029-OKZ076-311015-  
CRAWFORD-SEBASTIAN-LE FLORE-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VAN BUREN...FORT SMITH...POTEAU  
355 PM CDT MON MAR 30 2015  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
MAX/MIN TEMPERATURE 54 79 56 77  
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY(%) 100 48 100 52  
AM 20FT WIND(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 5  
PM 20FT WIND(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 9  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 30 30 50  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.01 0.05 0.22 0.17  
MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 0 3200 0 3200  
MIXING HGT(FT MSL) N/A 3800 N/A 3800  
TRANSPORT WIND(MPH) SE 10 SW 8 S 7 S 25  
1700FT MIXHGT T (F) N/A 71 N/A 72  
VENT RATE(M/S-M) 0 4000 0 11000  
CATEGORY DAY INDEX 1 2 1 4  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 3  
STABILITY F C F C  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 5.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH  
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 5.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CATEGORY DAY INDEX 4.  
 

 
 
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