188  
FXUS64 KAMA 230557  
AFDAMA  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX  
1257 AM CDT SAT JUN 23 2018  
   
AVIATION
 
 
06Z TAF CYCLE:  
 
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS SHIFTED EAST OF THE TERMINALS TONIGHT.  
VCTS WERE ADDED AT KGUY FOR ONE HOUR AS STORMS MOVE AWAY FROM  
THAT LOCATION. OTHERWISE, EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH MOST OF  
THE PERIOD. HOWEVER, SOME GUIDANCE HAS STARTED TO SUGGEST  
DEVELOPMENT OF IFR CIGS OR EVEN SOME PATCHY FOG ON THE CAPROCK FOR  
A FEW HOURS AROUND SUNRISE. CERTAINLY CAN'T RULE THIS OUT GIVEN  
MOIST UPSLOPE FLOW IN THE AREA, SO AMENDMENTS TO CURRENT TAFS MAY  
BE NEEDED. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE EASTERLY WITH OCCASIONAL 20 TO  
25 KNOT GUSTS THROUGH THE NIGHT, BUT SHOULD BECOME MORE  
NORTHEASTERLY AND DECREASE TO AROUND 10 KNOTS THROUGH THE MORNING  
AS A WEAK SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS AND MOVES EAST. WINDS WILL THEN  
GRADUALLY VEER TO THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE DAY TOMORROW.  
 
WARD  
 

 
 
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 402 PM CDT FRI JUN 22 2018/  
 
DISCUSSION...  
UPPER TROUGH TRACKING EAST OUT OF THE ROCKIES AND ACROSS THE  
PLAINS STATES THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT ALONG WITH A COLD FRONT  
PUSHING SOUTH ACROSS THE PANHANDLES TONIGHT WILL ALLOW FOR  
CONVECTION DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THIS EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT  
HOURS TONIGHT. COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA BY  
SATURDAY MORNING OR MIDDAY AND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME STATIONARY  
WELL SOUTH OF THE PANHANDLES BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. SURFACE RIDGE  
WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT SATURDAY ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA  
ALLOWING FOR NOT AS WARM CONDITIONS.  
 
FRONTAL BOUNDARY FORECAST TO LIFT NORTH AND EAST AS A WARM FRONT  
BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS A CLOSED UPPER LOW TRACKS EAST OUT OF THE  
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES AND THEN INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS  
STATES BY SUNDAY EVENING. CONVECTION EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ONCE  
AGAIN ACROSS MAINLY THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN PANHANDLES SUNDAY  
AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. UPPER HIGH TO BUILD IN OVER THE  
SOUTHWESTERN STATES BY MONDAY NIGHT WITH NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT  
RE-ESTABLISHING ITSELF OVER THE PANHANDLES. SHORTWAVE TROUGH TO  
DROP SOUTHEAST OUT OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES MONDAY NIGHT WITH  
CHANCES FOR CONVECTION LIKELY AGAIN MONDAY NIGHT. UPPER HIGH TO  
BUILD IN OVER THE FORECAST AREA BY THE MIDDLE AND END OF NEXT  
WEEK.  
 
SCHNEIDER  
 

 
   
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
TX...NONE.  
OK...NONE.  
 

 
 

 
 
7/3  
 
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