399  
FNUS76 KMFR 220452  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CINDER PIT ROAD HAND PILES...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
952 PM PDT TUE MAR 21 2017  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PDT ON MARCH 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
CONDITIONS WILL BE DAMP AND UNSETTLED TODAY AS AN  
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES THROUGH. THERE WILL BE PLENTY OF SHOWERS  
AROUND AND MAYBE EVEN A THUNDERSTORM IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL  
BE FAIRLY LIGHT WEST BUT WATCH FOR GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS. THE INSTABILITY WILL PROMOTE GOOD MIXING THOUGH.  
SHOWERS LINGER INTO TONIGHT BUT THEN TAPER OFF. THURSDAY IS LIKELY  
TO BE DRY, BUT A STRONG FRONT WILL BE APPROACHING FROM THE WEST  
WILL BRING RAIN AGAIN THURSDAY NIGHT. WET AND BREEZY CONDITIONS  
ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY.  
 
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING, THEN RAIN  
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-47.  
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 3-6 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-10 MPH.  
CWR.................60 PERCENT.  
LAL.................2.  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE  
EVENING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-32.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 3-6 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5-10 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH RISING TO 10-15 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
FRIDAY
 
 
RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.  
SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS 46 TO 51. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 7 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
 
RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS 46 TO 51. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 6 MPH.  
 

 
FORECASTER...WRIGHT  
REQUESTED BY...MARY DANIELS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1704827.0/MFR  
 
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