811  
FNUS76 KMFR 221730  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR WEST DREWS RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
1030 AM PDT TUE MAY 22 2018  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON MAY 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
A LOW TO THE SOUTH IS BRINGING MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY  
TO THE AREA. UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES ROTATING AROUND THE LOW WILL  
COMBINE WITH SURFACE HEATING TO SUPPORT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM  
ACTIVITY OVER THE BURN AREA THIS AFTERNOON. ANY THUNDERSTORMS COULD  
PRODUCE OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING STRIKES AND GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS. THIS  
ACTIVITY WILL INCREASE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING, THEN MOSTLY  
CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-75.  
MIN HUMIDITY........30-34 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VARIABLE 0-2 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE TO 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......11000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 MPH.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1 BECOMING 2 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN A SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-41.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92-96 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VARIABLE 0-2 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE TO 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......11000 FT AGL DECREASING TO THE SURFACE.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT.  
LAL.................2 BECOMING 1 LATE.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN  
THE MORNING, THEN SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-70.  
MIN HUMIDITY........44-48 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VARIABLE 0-2 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 3-5 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE TO 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR SURFACE RISING TO 8500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................50 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1 BECOMING 3 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 

 
FORECASTER...STOCKTON  
REQUESTED BY...NATE CRAWFORD  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1810468.0/MFR  
 
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