295
FGUS71 KCLE 281603
ESFCLE
OHC005-007-033-035-043-055-063-075-077-083-085-093-095-099-101-
103-117-123-133-139-143-147-151-153-155-169-173-175-PAC039-049-
041615-
WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1203 PM EDT THU MAR 28 2024
...FLOOD THREAT IS NEAR NORMAL THROUGH EARLY APRIL FOR THE GREAT
LAKES AND OHIO RIVER WATERSHEDS OF NORTHERN OHIO AND NORTHWEST
PENNSYLVANIA...
THIS IS THE SEVENTH IN A SERIES OF HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOKS ISSUED BY
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EVERY TWO WEEKS THROUGH EARLY SPRING
DESCRIBING THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA. THE RIVERS IN THE REGION ARE
DIVIDED BY THOSE THAT DRAIN NORTH INTO LAKE ERIE, AND THOSE THAT
DRAIN SOUTH INTO THE OHIO RIVER. THESE OUTLOOKS ARE BASED ON
CURRENT AND FORECAST HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS, INCLUDING
SNOWPACK AND PROJECTED RAINFALL, WHICH CAN EITHER FAVOR AN ABOVE,
AVERAGE, OR BELOW NORMAL FLOOD RISK OVER THE COMING TWO WEEKS.
FLOODING COULD OCCUR WITH WATER LEVELS HAVING MINOR IMPACTS EVEN
WITH A BELOW NORMAL OUTLOOK. THIS OUTLOOK IS VALID FOR THE TWO-
WEEK PERIOD FROM MARCH 28TH TO APRIL 11TH.
..OBSERVED SNOW DEPTHS AND WATER EQUIVALENTS
NO SNOW PACK CURRENTLY EXISTS ACROSS THE REGION.
..STREAMFLOW AND SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS
ACCORDING TO U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY (USGS) STREAMGAGES, 28 DAY
STREAMFLOW AVERAGES ACROSS THE REGION WERE GENERALLY NEAR TO BELOW
NORMAL FOR NORTHERN OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA. STREAMFLOW
VALUES WERE GENERALLY IN THE 15TH TO 50TH PERCENTILE OVER THE PAST
FOUR WEEKS. SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS WERE GENERALLY NEAR TO BELOW
NORMAL ACROSS THE AREA.
..RIVER ICE CONDITIONS
NO ICE IS PRESENT ON AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS.
..WATER SUPPLY
THE US ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS (USACE) RESERVOIRS WERE NEAR
NORMAL WINTER POOL ELEVATIONS. RESERVOIR STORAGE CAPACITY IS
GENERALLY 80% TO 100% AT THE PROJECTS.
..TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK
FOR THE 6 TO 10 DAY (APR 2 TO 6) OUTLOOK PERIOD, NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORED, WHILE NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION
IS FAVORED. FOR THE 8 TO 14 DAY (APR 4 TO 10) OUTLOOK PERIOD,
PROBABILITIES ARE LEANING TOWARDS ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES,
WHILE NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITATION IS FAVORED. THE LATEST SEASONAL
OUTLOOKS FOR APRIL THROUGH JUNE FAVOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
AND NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE REGION.
..SUMMARY
THE THREAT FOR FLOODING OVER THE NEXT TWO WEEKS IS NEAR NORMAL
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. IT IS IMPORTANT TO REMEMBER THAT HEAVY RAIN
CAN CAUSE FLOODING AT ANY TIME. EXTENDED HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION
WILL BE INCLUDED IN THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WHEN NECESSARY
AT FORECAST.WEATHER.GOV/
PRODUCT.PHP?SITE=NWS&PRODUCT=HWO&ISSUEDBY=CLE.
OBSERVED AND 5 DAY FORECAST RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT
HTTPS://WATER.NOAA.GOV/WFO/CLE. TEN DAY STREAMFLOW ENSEMBLE
FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ERH/MMEFS.
THIS IS THE FINAL SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK FOR THE SEASON.
FOR THE LATEST UPDATES, PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/CLEVELAND AND FOLLOW US ON SOCIAL MEDIA.
GREENAWALT
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