520  
FNUS51 KCTP 191653  
FWFCTP  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA  
1153 AM EST SUN NOV 19 2017  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
COLD AND WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT WITH  
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ACCUMULATION OVER THE NORTHWEST ALLEGHENIES AND  
LAUREL HIGHLANDS. THANKSGIVING WEEK LOOKS MAINLY DRY WITH  
TEMPERATURES TRENDING MILDER TO ABOVE AVERAGE INTO TUESDAY  
BEFORE COOLING OFF TO NEAR SEASONAL LEVELS FOR THE REST OF THE  
WEEK.  
 
PAZ004>006-010-011-192115-  
WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF WARREN, BRADFORD, COUDERSPORT, ST. MARYS,  
RIDGWAY, AND EMPORIUM  
1153 AM EST SUN NOV 19 2017  
 
TODAY TONIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 80 30  
TEMP (24H TREND) 36 (-10) 24 (-10) 38  
RH % (24H TREND) 56 (-23) 88 (-12) 42  
20FT WND-VAL/AM(MPH) NW 15 G47 W 11 G27  
20FT WND-RDG/PM(MPH) W 15 G33 W 11 G22 W 11 G25  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.09 0.10 0.01  
PRECIP DURATION 11 10 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 10 AM  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5020 3270 3400  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 31 W 29 W 25  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 162110 59250 103500  
DISPERSION 5 5 5  
DSI 1 0 1  
LAL NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3  
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.  
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH.    
THANKSGIVING DAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS  
IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS.  
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.  
 

 
 
PAZ012-017-018-192115-  
NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD-NORTHERN CENTRE-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF RENOVO, DUBOIS, CLEARFIELD,  
AND PHILIPSBURG  
1153 AM EST SUN NOV 19 2017  
 
TODAY TONIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 50 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 39 (-3) 24 (-12) 40  
RH % (24H TREND) 50 (-29) 88 (-12) 39  
20FT WND-VAL/AM(MPH) W 16 G46 W 12 G25  
20FT WND-RDG/PM(MPH) W 16 G37 W 12 G25 W 11 G23  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.04 0.05 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 3 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 AM  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5690 2970 3360  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 32 W 30 W 28  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 184090 58690 104700  
DISPERSION 5 5 5  
DSI 1 0 1  
LAL NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 4  
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
THANKSGIVING DAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN  
THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS  
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO  
20 MPH.  
 

 
 
PAZ024-033-192115-  
CAMBRIA-SOMERSET-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF JOHNSTOWN AND SOMERSET  
1153 AM EST SUN NOV 19 2017  
 
TODAY TONIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 50 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 36 (-11) 23 (-11) 39  
RH % (24H TREND) 57 (-15) 85 (-15) 39  
20FT WND-VAL/AM(MPH) W 18 G48 W 14 G26  
20FT WND-RDG/PM(MPH) W 18 G40 W 15 G30 W 12 G24  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.08 0.06 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 5 4  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 AM  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4680 2090 2630  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 36 W 30 W 24  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 159720 45640 63880  
DISPERSION 5 5 5  
DSI 1 0 1  
LAL NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 4  
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
THANKSGIVING DAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN  
THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS  
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO  
20 MPH.  
 

 
 
PAZ019-025>028-034-035-192115-  
SOUTHERN CENTRE-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-BEDFORD-FULTON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF STATE COLLEGE, ALTOONA, HUNTINGDON,  
MOUNT UNION, LEWISTOWN, MIFFLINTOWN, BEDFORD, AND MCCONNELLSBURG  
1153 AM EST SUN NOV 19 2017  
 
TODAY TONIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 10 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 43 (+2) 25 (-13) 44  
RH % (24H TREND) 47 (-19) 85 (-15) 33  
20FT WND-VAL/AM(MPH) W 18 G45 W 12 G26  
20FT WND-RDG/PM(MPH) W 17 G40 W 12 G26 W 10 G23  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 1 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 1 AM  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5950 2300 3590  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 33 W 29 W 22  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 182730 43240 88510  
DISPERSION 5 5 5  
DSI 1 0 1  
LAL NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS  
HAINES INDEX 4 3 4  
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS  
IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
THANKSGIVING DAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS  
AROUND 40. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.  
 

 
 
PAZ037-041-042-192115-  
TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MANSFIELD, WELLSBORO, TROUT RUN,  
AND LAPORTE  
1153 AM EST SUN NOV 19 2017  
 
TODAY TONIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 30 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 40 (-1) 24 (-12) 40  
RH % (24H TREND) 50 (-20) 78 (-22) 38  
20FT WND-VAL/AM(MPH) NW 18 G46 W 12 G29  
20FT WND-RDG/PM(MPH) W 16 G39 W 11 G23 W 12 G29  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.03 0.03 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 2 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 4 AM  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5710 3760 3960  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 32 W 26 W 28  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 174100 44480 113770  
DISPERSION 5 5 5  
DSI 1 0 1  
LAL NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS  
HAINES INDEX 4 3 3  
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 50.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
THANKSGIVING DAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN  
THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS.  
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.  
 

 
 
PAZ045-046-049>053-192115-  
SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR-  
NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LOCK HAVEN, WILLIAMSPORT, LEWISBURG,  
SELINSGROVE, DANVILLE, SUNBURY, SHAMOKIN, BLOOMSBURG, AND BERWICK  
1153 AM EST SUN NOV 19 2017  
 
TODAY TONIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE NONE SNOW SHOWERS NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 10 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 45 (+3) 27 (-13) 44  
RH % (24H TREND) 47 (-26) 78 (-22) 36  
20FT WND-VAL/AM(MPH) W 16 G43 W 10 G25  
20FT WND-RDG/PM(MPH) W 16 G38 W 11 G24 W 10 G22  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM  
PRECIP END 4 AM  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 6230 1720 4090  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 33 W 21 W 25  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 191400 2100 106620  
DISPERSION 5 2 5  
DSI 1 0 1  
LAL NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS  
HAINES INDEX 4 3 3  
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
THANKSGIVING DAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS  
AROUND 40. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-192115-  
FRANKLIN-PERRY-DAUPHIN-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CHAMBERSBURG, NEWPORT, HARRISBURG,  
HERSHEY, LEBANON, CARLISLE, GETTYSBURG, YORK, AND LANCASTER  
1153 AM EST SUN NOV 19 2017  
 
TODAY TONIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 48 (+3) 28 (-15) 45  
RH % (24H TREND) 43 (-22) 72 (-28) 32  
20FT WND-VAL/AM(MPH) W 18 G44 W 11 G23  
20FT WND-RDG/PM(MPH) W 18 G40 W 12 G24 W 10 G21  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 6100 1080 3760  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 32 W 23 W 21  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 187650 4310 83850  
DISPERSION 5 3 5  
DSI 1 0 1  
LAL NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS  
HAINES INDEX 4 3 4  
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THANKSGIVING DAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS  
IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 

 
 
PAZ058-192115-  
SCHUYLKILL-  
INCLUDING THE CITY OF POTTSVILLE  
1153 AM EST SUN NOV 19 2017  
 
TODAY TONIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 46 (+2) 28 (-14) 43  
RH % (24H TREND) 47 (-27) 75 (-25) 38  
20FT WND-VAL/AM(MPH) W 17 G45 W 11 G25  
20FT WND-RDG/PM(MPH) W 17 G39 W 11 G24 W 10 G21  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5850 2400 4030  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 32 W 24 W 28  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 176350 26770 113460  
DISPERSION 5 5 5  
DSI 1 0 1  
LAL NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS  
HAINES INDEX 4 3 4  
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THANKSGIVING DAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN  
THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
 
 
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.  
 

 
 
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