684  
FNUS51 KCTP 141231  
FWFCTP  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA  
830 AM EDT TUE AUG 14 2018  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED OVER  
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA THIS MORNING WILL DRIFT NORTHEASTWARD  
TO NEAR BOSTON BY DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY. THIS WEATHER FEATURE  
WILL BRING FAIRLY NUMEROUS MODERATE, TO BRIEFLY HEAVY SHOWERS  
ACROSS PENNSYLVANIA THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT. THE MOST NUMEROUS  
SHOWERS WILL BE OVER EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA. A RIDGE OF HIGH  
PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST FROM THE OHIO VALLEY AND CREST OVER  
THE REGION WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING, ACCOMPANIED BY  
DRY WEATHER, LIGHT WIND, AND TEMPERATURES ABOUT 5 DEGREES ABOVE  
NORMAL BOTH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.  
 
PAZ004>006-010-011-142100-  
WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF WARREN, BRADFORD, COUDERSPORT, ST. MARYS,  
RIDGWAY, AND EMPORIUM  
830 AM EDT TUE AUG 14 2018  
 
TODAY TONIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 10 10  
TEMP (24H TREND) 77 (+3) 61 (+1) 82  
RH % (24H TREND) 58 (-2) 100 (0) 56  
20FT WND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR W 5  
20FT WND-RDG/PM(MPH) NW 5 W 5 W 7  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.35 0.04 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 9 2 0  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING 2 PM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 2 AM 6 PM  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4880 70 5790  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 14 W 5 W 16  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 89300 190 94800  
DISPERSION 5 1 5  
DSI 1 0 1  
LAL >25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKES 1-8 STRIKES  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 4  
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH  
69 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.  
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
73 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80.  
MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
PAZ012-017-018-142100-  
NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD-NORTHERN CENTRE-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF RENOVO, DUBOIS, CLEARFIELD,  
AND PHILIPSBURG  
830 AM EDT TUE AUG 14 2018  
 
TODAY TONIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 20 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 76 (+1) 62 (0) 83  
RH % (24H TREND) 64 (0) 100 (0) 57  
20FT WND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR W 6  
20FT WND-RDG/PM(MPH) NW 5 W 6 W 7  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.46 0.06 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 7 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 2 AM  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 2580 100 6010  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 13 W 6 W 16  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 39540 320 99520  
DISPERSION 5 1 5  
DSI 1 0 1  
LAL DRY LIGHTNING16-25 STRIKES NO TSTMS  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3  
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.  
MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.  
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
74 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID  
60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80.  
MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
PAZ024-033-142100-  
CAMBRIA-SOMERSET-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF JOHNSTOWN AND SOMERSET  
830 AM EDT TUE AUG 14 2018  
 
TODAY TONIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 20 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 75 (+5) 61 (+2) 80  
RH % (24H TREND) 62 (0) 100 (0) 55  
20FT WND-VAL/AM(MPH) W 6 W 7  
20FT WND-RDG/PM(MPH) W 7 W 7 W 7  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.36 0.04 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 6 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 2 AM  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 2970 50 5440  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 14 W 7 W 13  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 53140 0 73900  
DISPERSION 5 1 5  
DSI 1 0 1  
LAL >25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKES NO TSTMS  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3  
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH  
69 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.  
MINIMUM RH 75 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID  
60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
PAZ019-025>028-034-035-142100-  
SOUTHERN CENTRE-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-BEDFORD-FULTON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF STATE COLLEGE, ALTOONA, HUNTINGDON,  
MOUNT UNION, LEWISTOWN, MIFFLINTOWN, BEDFORD, AND MCCONNELLSBURG  
830 AM EDT TUE AUG 14 2018  
 
TODAY TONIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 80 (+3) 63 (+1) 86  
RH % (24H TREND) 58 (0) 100 (0) 51  
20FT WND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR W 6  
20FT WND-RDG/PM(MPH) W 6 W 6 W 7  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.50 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 7  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM  
PRECIP END 6 PM  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4010 70 6140  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 12 W 6 W 14  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 55340 200 90450  
DISPERSION 5 1 5  
DSI 1 0 1  
LAL DRY LIGHTNING16-25 STRIKES NO TSTMS  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3  
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.  
MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
67 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
80S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
PAZ037-041-042-142100-  
TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MANSFIELD, WELLSBORO, TROUT RUN,  
AND LAPORTE  
830 AM EDT TUE AUG 14 2018  
 
TODAY TONIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 20 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 76 (+6) 62 (0) 83  
RH % (24H TREND) 62 (-14) 100 (0) 56  
20FT WND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR W 6  
20FT WND-RDG/PM(MPH) NW 5 NW 5 W 7  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.76 0.09 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 10 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 2 AM  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 1460 80 6620  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 12 W 6 NW 17  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 32780 220 110750  
DISPERSION 5 1 5  
DSI 1 0 1  
LAL >25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKES 1-8 STRIKES  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 4  
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
69 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.  
MINIMUM RH 72 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.  
MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
PAZ045-046-049>053-142100-  
SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR-  
NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LOCK HAVEN, WILLIAMSPORT, LEWISBURG,  
SELINSGROVE, DANVILLE, SUNBURY, SHAMOKIN, BLOOMSBURG, AND BERWICK  
830 AM EDT TUE AUG 14 2018  
 
TODAY TONIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 20 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 80 (+5) 64 (0) 87  
RH % (24H TREND) 57 (-8) 100 (0) 52  
20FT WND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR W 5  
20FT WND-RDG/PM(MPH) LGT/VAR W 5 W 6  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.53 0.07 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 8 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 2 AM  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 2590 80 6870  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 10 W 5 NW 16  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 28750 130 95080  
DISPERSION 5 1 5  
DSI 1 0 2  
LAL >25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKES NO TSTMS  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 4  
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH  
63 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
66 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80.  
MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-142100-  
FRANKLIN-PERRY-DAUPHIN-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CHAMBERSBURG, NEWPORT, HARRISBURG,  
HERSHEY, LEBANON, CARLISLE, GETTYSBURG, YORK, AND LANCASTER  
830 AM EDT TUE AUG 14 2018  
 
TODAY TONIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 82 (+2) 64 (-1) 88  
RH % (24H TREND) 56 (-2) 100 (0) 51  
20FT WND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR W 5  
20FT WND-RDG/PM(MPH) W 5 W 6 W 6  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.18 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 5  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM  
PRECIP END 6 PM  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4300 0 6300  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 13 W 6 W 15  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 60590 0 96810  
DISPERSION 5 1 5  
DSI 1 0 2  
LAL DRY LIGHTNING16-25 STRIKES NO TSTMS  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 4  
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
65 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
80S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
80S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
PAZ058-142100-  
SCHUYLKILL-  
INCLUDING THE CITY OF POTTSVILLE  
830 AM EDT TUE AUG 14 2018  
 
TODAY TONIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 20 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 81 (+7) 63 (-1) 86  
RH % (24H TREND) 60 (-12) 100 (0) 55  
20FT WND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 5  
20FT WND-RDG/PM(MPH) LGT/VAR W 5 W 6  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.31 0.06 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 5 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 2 AM  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3290 120 6670  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 12 W 5 NW 17  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 35870 320 101730  
DISPERSION 5 1 5  
DSI 1 0 1  
LAL >25 STRIKES16-25 STRIKES NO TSTMS  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 4  
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS  
IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
65 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80.  
MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
 
 
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.  
 

 
 
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